Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: Arsenal de Sarandi vs Atletico Camioneros

Team pages: Arsenal de Sarandi · Atletico Camioneros

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Arsenal de Sarandi1.61

Atletico Camioneros0.84

1X2

54% 28% 18%

Arsenal de Sarandi Draw Atletico Camioneros

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Arsenal de Sarandi 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLWD

Atletico Camioneros 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDWLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Arsenal de Sarandi 1–0 Atletico Camioneros (1 last)

Atletico Camioneros1-2Arsenal de Sarandi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arsenal de Sarandi 1563 · Atletico Camioneros 1468

	Arsenal de Sarandi	Draw	Atletico Camioneros
Our model	54%	27%	18%
Market	54%	28%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsenal de Sarandi (rating 1563 vs 1468).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arsenal de Sarandi	Atletico Camioneros
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.4	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.7	2.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	3.30 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	6.00 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:14 +5’	1.53	3.30	6.00
00:06 +5’	1.67▲	3.20▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arsenal de Sarandi 1–0–0 Atletico Camioneros

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Atletico Camioneros	1-2 HT 0-2	Arsenal de Sarandi

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	40	23	9	8	64	31	78
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	40	20	13	7	53	26	73
3	Sportivo Italiano	40	19	12	9	47	29	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	19	11	10	42	26	68
5	Atletico Camioneros	40	18	13	9	47	32	67
6	Villa Dalmine	40	17	14	9	39	27	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	40	17	11	12	42	38	62
8	Real Pilar	40	17	11	12	42	39	62
9	Club Comunicaciones	40	14	15	11	39	34	57
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	14	13	13	49	52	55
11	San Martin De Burzaco	40	12	15	13	41	45	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	12	14	14	40	43	50
13	Deportivo Merlo	40	11	15	14	39	53	48
14	CS Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41	45	47
15	Deportivo Liniers	40	10	15	15	33	41	45
16	CSD Flandria	40	12	9	19	36	48	45
17	Argentino Merlo	40	11	11	18	36	44	44
18	Argentino Quilmes	40	9	17	14	32	40	44
19	CA Brown de Adrogue	40	9	16	15	25	37	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	9	15	16	33	40	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23	36	39
22	CA Ituzaingo	40	1	14	25	27	64	17

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arsenal de Sarandi

DWWWWLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
10/10	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	3-1	9	5	W
03/10	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
26/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
19/09	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
05/09	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
29/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	3-0	2	8	W
25/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
22/08	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	2	D

Atletico Camioneros

DWDWLLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Argentino Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	3-2	1	9	W
10/10	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	10	7	L
26/09	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Atletico Camioneros?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arsenal de Sarandi win (54%). Probabilities: Arsenal de Sarandi 54%, draw 28%, Atletico Camioneros 18%.

How many goals are expected in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Arsenal de Sarandi 1.61 · Atletico Camioneros 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arsenal de Sarandi vs Atletico Camioneros?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.