Football · Hungary NB II · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Csakvari TK vs Karcagi SE

Team pages: Csakvari TK · Karcagi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Csakvari TK1.39

Karcagi SE1.56

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Csakvari TK Draw Karcagi SE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Csakvari TK 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLLLL

Karcagi SE 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDWWLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Csakvari TK 0–1–2 Karcagi SE (3 last)

Csakvari TK1-2Karcagi SE
Karcagi SE2-2Csakvari TK
Karcagi SE1-0Csakvari TK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Csakvari TK 1391 · Karcagi SE 1445

	Csakvari TK	Draw	Karcagi SE
Our model	33%	27%	40%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karcagi SE (rating 1391 vs 1445).
H2H favours Karcagi SE: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Csakvari TK	Karcagi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.2	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.5	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.58
2	2.00 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.41 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +8’	3.00	3.50	2.00
01:37 +4’	2.88▼	3.40▼	2.10▲
16:49 +17’	2.70▼	3.40	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +33’	2.53	3.52	2.39
13:58 +20’	2.56▲	3.58▲	2.41▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Csakvari TK 0–1–2 Karcagi SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	1-2 HT 1-1	Karcagi SE
29/10/25 Hungary Cup	Karcagi SE	2-2 HT 0-1	Csakvari TK
19/10/25 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kecskemeti TE	13	9	2	2	28	15	29
2	Soroksar	13	7	4	2	29	16	25
3	Kazincbarcikai BSC	13	6	6	1	23	14	24
4	Tiszakecske FC	13	6	6	1	25	17	24
5	Mezokovesd Zsory	13	7	2	4	24	14	23
6	Gyirmot SE	13	6	4	3	21	20	22
7	FC Ajka	13	5	4	4	17	16	19
8	Diosgyori VTK	13	5	3	5	21	23	18
9	BVSC Zuglo	13	5	2	6	17	17	17
10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	13	4	4	5	16	16	16
11	Fehervar FC	13	5	0	8	16	17	15
12	Szentlorinc SE	13	4	2	7	13	21	14
13	Kozarmisleny SE	13	4	1	8	11	20	13
14	FC Nagykanizsa	13	4	0	9	9	18	12
15	Karcagi SE	12	2	5	5	16	24	11
16	Csakvari TK	12	1	1	10	9	27	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Csakvari TK	Karcagi SE
BVSC Zuglo	0-1 L	4-1 W
Mezokovesd Zsory	0-4 L	0-3 L
Tiszakecske FC	0-1 L	3-3 D
Kecskemeti TE	1-2 L	2-5 L
FC Ajka	0-1 L	1-1 D
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2-2 D	1-2 L
Kazincbarcikai BSC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Kozarmisleny SE	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Csakvari TK

WLLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
25/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-3	0-4	8	4	L
17/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	2	10	L
19/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
30/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
23/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
16/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-3	2-3	5	7	L
09/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	3	8	W

Karcagi SE

DDWWLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-3	0-3	2	7	L
24/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-2	2-5	5	6	L
18/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
10/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Csakvari TK vs Karcagi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Karcagi SE win (41%). Probabilities: Csakvari TK 33%, draw 26%, Karcagi SE 41%.

How many goals are expected in Csakvari TK vs Karcagi SE?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Csakvari TK 1.39 · Karcagi SE 1.56), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Csakvari TK vs Karcagi SE?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.