Football · Hungary NB II · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kecskemeti TE vs FC Nagykanizsa

Team pages: Kecskemeti TE · FC Nagykanizsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Kecskemeti TE2.13

FC Nagykanizsa0.79

1X2

68% 20% 12%

Kecskemeti TE Draw FC Nagykanizsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kecskemeti TE 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Nagykanizsa 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kecskemeti TE 1611 · FC Nagykanizsa 1454

	Kecskemeti TE	Draw	FC Nagykanizsa
Our model	67%	21%	12%
Market	69%	19%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kecskemeti TE (rating 1611 vs 1454).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kecskemeti TE	FC Nagykanizsa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.9	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +1’	1.30	4.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kecskemeti TE	12	8	2	2	26	15	26
2	Soroksar	12	7	3	2	29	16	24
3	Mezokovesd Zsory	12	7	2	3	23	11	23
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	12	6	5	1	23	14	23
5	Tiszakecske FC	12	6	5	1	24	16	23
6	Gyirmot SE	12	6	3	3	20	19	21
7	FC Ajka	12	5	4	3	17	15	19
8	Fehervar FC	12	5	0	7	16	14	15
9	Diosgyori VTK	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
10	BVSC Zuglo	11	4	2	5	14	14	14
11	Szentlorinc SE	12	4	2	6	12	18	14
12	FC Nagykanizsa	12	4	0	8	9	16	12
13	Karcagi SE	12	2	5	5	16	24	11
14	Kozarmisleny SE	12	3	1	8	10	20	10
15	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	11	2	4	5	10	15	10
16	Csakvari TK	12	1	1	10	9	27	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kecskemeti TE	FC Nagykanizsa
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-0 W	1-0 W
Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Kozarmisleny SE	3-0 W	0-3 L
Gyirmot SE	4-1 W	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
BVSC Zuglo	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kecskemeti TE (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kecskemeti TE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
24/10	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-1	5-2	7	6	W
17/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-3	9	0	L
11/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	11	10	W
19/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	2	9	D
29/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	3-0	7	3	W
22/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
15/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
08/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	7	3	W

FC Nagykanizsa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
24/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	8	6	L
10/10	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
19/09	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
29/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
22/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
15/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	8	L
09/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kecskemeti TE vs FC Nagykanizsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kecskemeti TE win (68%). Probabilities: Kecskemeti TE 68%, draw 20%, FC Nagykanizsa 12%.

How many goals are expected in Kecskemeti TE vs FC Nagykanizsa?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Kecskemeti TE 2.13 · FC Nagykanizsa 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kecskemeti TE vs FC Nagykanizsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.