Football · Hungary NB II · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: Gyirmot SE vs Tiszakecske FC

Team pages: Gyirmot SE · Tiszakecske FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Gyirmot SE1.67

Tiszakecske FC1.45

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Gyirmot SE Draw Tiszakecske FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyirmot SE 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWWDD

Tiszakecske FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWDL

Head-to-head

Gyirmot SE 5–1–0 Tiszakecske FC (6 last)

Gyirmot SE1-1Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC0-1Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE1-0Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC0-1Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE1-0Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC3-4Gyirmot SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyirmot SE 1532 · Tiszakecske FC 1534

	Gyirmot SE	Draw	Tiszakecske FC
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	42%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gyirmot SE: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyirmot SE	Tiszakecske FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.8	3.3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:15 +3’	2.15	3.40	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyirmot SE 5–1–0 Tiszakecske FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/24 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	1-1 HT 1-1	Tiszakecske FC
12/11/23 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Gyirmot SE
23/04/23 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Tiszakecske FC
30/10/22 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Gyirmot SE
06/10/19 Hungary NB II	Gyirmot SE	1-0 HT 1-0	Tiszakecske FC
16/12/18 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	3-4 HT 1-3	Gyirmot SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kecskemeti TE	12	8	2	2	26	15	26
2	Soroksar	12	7	3	2	29	16	24
3	Mezokovesd Zsory	12	7	2	3	23	11	23
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	12	6	5	1	23	14	23
5	Tiszakecske FC	12	6	5	1	24	16	23
6	Gyirmot SE	12	6	3	3	20	19	21
7	FC Ajka	12	5	4	3	17	15	19
8	Fehervar FC	12	5	0	7	16	14	15
9	Diosgyori VTK	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
10	BVSC Zuglo	11	4	2	5	14	14	14
11	Szentlorinc SE	12	4	2	6	12	18	14
12	FC Nagykanizsa	12	4	0	8	9	16	12
13	Karcagi SE	12	2	5	5	16	24	11
14	Kozarmisleny SE	12	3	1	8	10	20	10
15	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	11	2	4	5	10	15	10
16	Csakvari TK	12	1	1	10	9	27	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyirmot SE	Tiszakecske FC
FC Ajka	1-1 D	4-3 W
Soroksar	3-3 D	3-3 D
Szentlorinc SE	2-1 W	2-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	2-1 W
Diosgyori VTK	0-2 L	4-1 W
Karcagi SE	2-0 W	3-3 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszakecske FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyirmot SE

DWLLWLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	2	12	D
24/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
18/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	11	5	W
10/10	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
05/09	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
29/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	2-4	4	3	L
22/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-2	1-4	8	5	L
15/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
08/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-2	8	6	D

Tiszakecske FC

WDWWWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	2-2	5	1	D
17/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-1	4-3	7	5	W
20/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	3-1	3-3	3	7	D
05/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyirmot SE vs Tiszakecske FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyirmot SE win (42%). Probabilities: Gyirmot SE 42%, draw 26%, Tiszakecske FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Gyirmot SE vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Gyirmot SE 1.67 · Tiszakecske FC 1.45), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyirmot SE vs Tiszakecske FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.