Football · Hungary NB II · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kozarmisleny SE vs FC Ajka

Team pages: Kozarmisleny SE · FC Ajka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Kozarmisleny SE1.22

FC Ajka1.16

1X2

37% 29% 34%

Kozarmisleny SE Draw FC Ajka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kozarmisleny SE 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDLWLW

FC Ajka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLDLWD

Head-to-head

Kozarmisleny SE 4–2–0 FC Ajka (6 last)

Kozarmisleny SE1-1FC Ajka
FC Ajka0-2Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE1-0FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-1Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE1-0FC Ajka
FC Ajka0-3Kozarmisleny SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozarmisleny SE 1505 · FC Ajka 1521

	Kozarmisleny SE	Draw	FC Ajka
Our model	36%	30%	33%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kozarmisleny SE: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozarmisleny SE	FC Ajka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.30

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +56’	2.35	3.30	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozarmisleny SE 4–2–0 FC Ajka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Ajka
26/10/25 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-2 HT 0-1	Kozarmisleny SE
13/04/25 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Ajka
06/10/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-1 HT 1-0	Kozarmisleny SE
21/04/24 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Ajka
22/10/23 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-3 HT 0-2	Kozarmisleny SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kecskemeti TE	12	8	2	2	26	15	26
2	Soroksar	12	7	3	2	29	16	24
3	Mezokovesd Zsory	12	7	2	3	23	11	23
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	12	6	5	1	23	14	23
5	Tiszakecske FC	12	6	5	1	24	16	23
6	Gyirmot SE	12	6	3	3	20	19	21
7	FC Ajka	12	5	4	3	17	15	19
8	Fehervar FC	12	5	0	7	16	14	15
9	Diosgyori VTK	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
10	BVSC Zuglo	11	4	2	5	14	14	14
11	Szentlorinc SE	12	4	2	6	12	18	14
12	FC Nagykanizsa	12	4	0	8	9	16	12
13	Karcagi SE	12	2	5	5	16	24	11
14	Kozarmisleny SE	12	3	1	8	10	20	10
15	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	11	2	4	5	10	15	10
16	Csakvari TK	12	1	1	10	9	27	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozarmisleny SE	FC Ajka
Soroksar	1-0 W	0-3 L
Szentlorinc SE	0-2 L	1-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	3-0 W	2-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	0-2 L	1-1 D
Mezokovesd Zsory	2-0 W	1-1 D
Csakvari TK	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozarmisleny SE

LLLLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
24/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
17/10	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
10/10	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
05/09	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
15/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L

FC Ajka

DWWLWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	4	12	D
24/10	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
17/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
10/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-4	0	5	L
19/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozarmisleny SE vs FC Ajka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kozarmisleny SE win (37%). Probabilities: Kozarmisleny SE 37%, draw 29%, FC Ajka 34%.

How many goals are expected in Kozarmisleny SE vs FC Ajka?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Kozarmisleny SE 1.22 · FC Ajka 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozarmisleny SE vs FC Ajka?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.