Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 26/10, 22:30

Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Tacuary

Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · Tacuary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Deportivo Capiata1.63

Tacuary0.98

1X2

52% 25% 22%

Deportivo Capiata Draw Tacuary

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Capiata 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLDDWW

Tacuary 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Capiata 1–4–0 Tacuary (5 last)

Tacuary0-0Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata0-0Tacuary
Tacuary0-4Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata1-1Tacuary
Tacuary0-0Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1494 · Tacuary 1460

	Deportivo Capiata	Draw	Tacuary
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	53%	24%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Capiata	Tacuary
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.70

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +16’	1.70	3.70	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 1–4–0 Tacuary

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata
20/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	0-0 HT 0-0	Tacuary
13/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-4 HT 0-3	Deportivo Capiata
16/08/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-1 HT 0-0	Tacuary
09/05/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	29	18	3	8	49	27	57
2	General Caballero JLM	29	17	5	7	58	37	56
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	29	15	9	5	39	28	54
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	45	38	47
5	Sol de America	30	10	15	5	37	30	45
6	Independiente FBC	30	11	10	9	46	41	43
7	Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37	43	43
8	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	29	12	6	11	43	39	42
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	41	48	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	29	9	7	13	32	42	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	38	46	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	23	38	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	35	49	27
16	Encarnacion FC	30	7	5	18	30	44	26

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Capiata	Tacuary
Club Atlético Tembetary	2-1 W	2-3 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-1 W	2-1 W
Carapegua	1-1 D	0-0 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-0 D	1-2 L
Encarnacion FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	0-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-1 L	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	4-3 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Capiata

DLWLLLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
13/10	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	3	6	W
02/10	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
27/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-3	6	1	L
13/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
09/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
03/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
28/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Tacuary

LDLDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	3	8	W
09/10	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-4	8	5	L
03/10	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
26/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
20/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
09/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Tacuary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Capiata win (52%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 52%, draw 25%, Tacuary 22%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Tacuary?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.63 · Tacuary 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Tacuary?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.