Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 24/10, 15:00

Prediction: 3 de Noviembre vs Encarnacion FC

Team pages: 3 de Noviembre · Encarnacion FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

3 de Noviembre1.31

Encarnacion FC1.81

1X2

27% 25% 48%

3 de Noviembre Draw Encarnacion FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

3 de Noviembre 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Encarnacion FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

3 de Noviembre 0–1 Encarnacion FC (1 last)

Encarnacion FC2-13 de Noviembre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 3 de Noviembre 1528 · Encarnacion FC 1490

	3 de Noviembre	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	27%	25%	48%
Market	27%	25%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	3 de Noviembre	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:31 +33’	3.30	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Noviembre 0–0–1 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	2-1 HT 1-1	3 de Noviembre

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	29	18	3	8	49	27	57
2	General Caballero JLM	29	17	5	7	58	37	56
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	29	15	9	5	39	28	54
4	Sol de America	29	10	14	5	36	29	44
5	Paraguari AC	29	13	5	11	42	37	44
6	Independiente FBC	29	11	10	8	45	38	43
7	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	29	12	6	11	43	39	42
8	Carapegua	29	12	6	11	37	43	42
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	29	10	6	13	40	47	36
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	29	9	7	13	32	42	34
13	3 de Noviembre	29	7	8	14	36	44	29
14	Guairena FC	29	7	7	15	23	38	28
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	35	49	27
16	Encarnacion FC	29	7	4	18	28	42	25

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	3 de Noviembre	Encarnacion FC
General Caballero JLM	3-1 W	3-2 W
Guairena FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	0-3 L
Sol de America	1-0 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Capiata	3-4 L	3-1 W
Independiente FBC	5-2 W	0-1 L
Tacuary	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: 3 de Noviembre (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

3 de Noviembre

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
10/10	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-2	7	6	W
03/10	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
25/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	6	6	W
19/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
10/10	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
02/10	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
26/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
15/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
05/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 3 de Noviembre vs Encarnacion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Encarnacion FC win (48%). Probabilities: 3 de Noviembre 27%, draw 25%, Encarnacion FC 48%.

How many goals are expected in 3 de Noviembre vs Encarnacion FC?

The model expects 3.12 goals (3 de Noviembre 1.31 · Encarnacion FC 1.81), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in 3 de Noviembre vs Encarnacion FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.