Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 26/10, 20:00

Prediction: Resistencia FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Team pages: Resistencia FC · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Resistencia FC1.5

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.3

1X2

41% 26% 32%

Resistencia FC Draw Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Resistencia FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Resistencia FC 0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (1 last)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval2-0Resistencia FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1473 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1441

	Resistencia FC	Draw	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Our model	41%	28%	32%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:05 +10’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 0–0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-0 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	29	18	3	8	49	27	57
2	General Caballero JLM	29	17	5	7	58	37	56
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	29	15	9	5	39	28	54
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	45	38	47
5	Sol de America	30	10	15	5	37	30	45
6	Independiente FBC	30	11	10	9	46	41	43
7	Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37	43	43
8	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	29	12	6	11	43	39	42
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	41	48	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	29	9	7	13	32	42	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	38	46	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	23	38	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	35	49	27
16	Encarnacion FC	30	7	5	18	30	44	26

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Carapegua	2-1 W	0-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	1-1 D
Encarnacion FC	3-0 W	3-1 W
Deportivo Santaní	1-2 L	2-3 L
Paraguari AC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Sol de America	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resistencia FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
11/10	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
02/10	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
27/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
19/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
09/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
31/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
13/10	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
06/10	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-3	5	5	L
26/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
21/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	11	7	W
14/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
10/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
31/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resistencia FC win (41%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 41%, draw 26%, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 32%.

How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Resistencia FC 1.5 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.