Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 25/10, 20:30

Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Santaní

Team pages: Fernando de la Mora · Deportivo Santaní

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Fernando de la Mora1.29

Deportivo Santaní1.53

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Fernando de la Mora Draw Deportivo Santaní

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Fernando de la Mora 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLWWLLL

Deportivo Santaní 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWWLW

Head-to-head

Fernando de la Mora 1–2–3 Deportivo Santaní (6 last)

Deportivo Santaní2-3Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-3Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní2-0Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-0Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní2-2Fernando de la Mora
Deportivo Santaní2-1Fernando de la Mora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fernando de la Mora 1486 · Deportivo Santaní 1529

	Fernando de la Mora	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1486 vs 1529).
H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fernando de la Mora	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 6.8	2.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90
X	3.70 → 3.25▼	Bet365 3.25
2	1.73 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.30 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +10’	3.80	3.70	1.73
09:15 +2’	3.20▼	3.30▼	2.00▲
10:09 +6’	2.90▼	3.25▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:54 +23’	2.90	2.89	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernando de la Mora 1–2–3 Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-3 HT 0-1	Fernando de la Mora
15/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Santaní
11/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-0 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora
03/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
26/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-2 HT 1-1	Fernando de la Mora
06/10/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-1 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	29	18	3	8	49	27	57
2	General Caballero JLM	29	17	5	7	58	37	56
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	29	15	9	5	39	28	54
4	Paraguari AC	30	14	5	11	45	38	47
5	Sol de America	30	10	15	5	37	30	45
6	Independiente FBC	30	11	10	9	46	41	43
7	Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37	43	43
8	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	29	12	6	11	43	39	42
9	Resistencia FC	29	10	9	10	34	34	39
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	30	10	7	13	41	48	37
11	Deportivo Capiata	29	8	11	10	36	39	35
12	Fernando de la Mora	29	9	7	13	32	42	34
13	3 de Noviembre	30	7	9	14	38	46	30
14	Guairena FC	30	7	8	15	23	38	29
15	Tacuary	29	5	12	12	35	49	27
16	Encarnacion FC	30	7	5	18	30	44	26

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fernando de la Mora	Deportivo Santaní
3 de Noviembre	2-3 L	2-0 W
General Caballero JLM	0-2 L	1-2 L
Guairena FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	2-3 L	3-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Tacuary	1-1 D	3-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-2 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fernando de la Mora

LDDWLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
10/10	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-3	11	6	L
06/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
29/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
19/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L

Deportivo Santaní

WLWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	8	2	L
07/10	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
27/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santaní win (42%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 31%, draw 27%, Deportivo Santaní 42%.

How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.29 · Deportivo Santaní 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.