Football · Uruguay Segunda · 01/11, 23:00
Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs Plaza Colonia
Team pages: Miramar Misiones · Plaza Colonia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Miramar Misiones0.87
Plaza Colonia1.2
1X2
Miramar Misiones
Draw
Plaza Colonia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Miramar Misiones
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Plaza Colonia
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Miramar Misiones
2–1–3
Plaza Colonia
(6 last)
- Plaza Colonia3-0Miramar Misiones
- Miramar Misiones0-2Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia1-3Miramar Misiones
- Miramar Misiones0-1Plaza Colonia
- Miramar Misiones3-1Plaza Colonia
- Plaza Colonia2-2Miramar Misiones
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1493 · Plaza Colonia 1514
| Miramar Misiones | Draw | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 32% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Plaza Colonia: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Miramar Misiones | Plaza Colonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.5 | 5.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 2–1–3 Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Miramar Misiones |
| 22/03/26 Uruguay Segunda | Miramar Misiones | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 03/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Plaza Colonia | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Miramar Misiones |
| 02/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Miramar Misiones | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| 01/09/18 Uruguay Segunda | Miramar Misiones | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 07/04/18 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 2-2 | Miramar Misiones |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Miramar Misiones | Plaza Colonia |
|---|---|---|
| La Luz | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Cerrito | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| CA Atenas | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Paysandu FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Huracan DPA | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Club Oriental | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miramar Misiones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 12/09 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 21/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/09 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 08/09 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 31/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs Plaza Colonia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Colonia win (44%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 26%, draw 30%, Plaza Colonia 44%.
How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs Plaza Colonia?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Miramar Misiones 0.87 · Plaza Colonia 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs Plaza Colonia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.