Football · Uruguay Segunda · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo

Team pages: CA River Plate · Tacuarembo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
CA River Plate1.45
Tacuarembo0.8
1X2
52% 28% 20%
CA River Plate Draw Tacuarembo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA River Plate 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWLWLL
Tacuarembo 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDDDLLLD
Head-to-head
CA River Plate 1–1–1 Tacuarembo (3 last)
  • Tacuarembo1-0CA River Plate
  • Tacuarembo1-3CA River Plate
  • CA River Plate2-2Tacuarembo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA River Plate 1463 · Tacuarembo 1436
CA River PlateDrawTacuarembo
Our model51%29%19%
Market52%27%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA River PlateTacuarembo
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.30.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.72.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.45.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 1–1–1 Tacuarembo

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/08/26
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo1-0CA River Plate
26/04/15
Uruguay Clausura
Tacuarembo1-3
HT 1-1
CA River Plate
19/10/14
Uruguay Apertura
CA River Plate2-2
HT 2-0
Tacuarembo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA River PlateTacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo 1-2 L 2-2 D
Plaza Colonia 1-2 L 1-1 D
Club Oriental 3-1 W 0-1 L
La Luz 2-3 L 0-1 L
Colon FC 3-0 W 0-1 L
Cerrito 1-1 D 1-2 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-1 L 0-2 L
CA Atenas 2-3 L 0-1 L
Paysandu FC 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 5 L 0 W 3 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA River Plate

DDLLDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 17 L
18/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 66 L
10/10 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-1 55 W
05/10 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-3 67 L
26/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 3-0 38 W
20/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 04 D
13/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 69 L
06/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-3 66 L
30/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 86 D
22/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 65 D

Tacuarembo

LLLDDDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 65 D
17/10 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 55 L
10/10 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 16 L
04/10 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 16 L
29/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-2 28 D
20/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 34 D
12/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-2 51 D
06/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 13 L
29/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 25 L
23/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 615 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA River Plate win (52%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 52%, draw 28%, Tacuarembo 20%.

How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?

The model expects 2.24 goals (CA River Plate 1.45 · Tacuarembo 0.8), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Tacuarembo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.