Football · Uruguay Segunda · 31/10, 23:00

Prediction: Rentistas vs La Luz

Team pages: Rentistas · La Luz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Rentistas1.41
La Luz1.16
1X2
41% 29% 30%
Rentistas Draw La Luz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rentistas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWLWWLWD
La Luz 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWLWWDWW
Head-to-head
Rentistas 2–2–1 La Luz (5 last)
  • La Luz2-5Rentistas
  • La Luz2-0Rentistas
  • Rentistas3-2La Luz
  • La Luz0-0Rentistas
  • Rentistas1-1La Luz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rentistas 1536 · La Luz 1512
RentistasDrawLa Luz
Our model41%29%30%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rentistas: 2-2-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

RentistasLa Luz
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.20.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.33 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 1.16.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rentistas 2–2–1 La Luz

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz2-5
HT 1-2
Rentistas
26/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz2-0
HT 1-0
Rentistas
05/06/25
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas3-2
HT 1-1
La Luz
11/10/24
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz0-0
HT 0-0
Rentistas
05/07/24
Uruguay Segunda
Rentistas1-1
HT 0-0
La Luz

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRentistasLa Luz
Cerrito 2-2 D 2-1 W
CA Atenas 3-0 W 0-1 L
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 1-0 W
Huracan DPA 2-1 W 1-3 L
Uruguay Montevideo 3-1 W 0-0 D
Club Oriental 0-2 L 0-2 L
CA River Plate 0-0 D 3-2 W
Miramar Misiones 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: La Luz (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rentistas

DDWWLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 2-2 58 D
18/10 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-0 05 W
11/10 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-2 612 L
03/10 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-1 47 W
26/09 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 99 W
20/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/09 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
06/09 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-1 38 W
30/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 56 D
21/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 104 D

La Luz

LDLWLWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-0 16 W
17/10 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 55 W
11/10 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 28 D
05/10 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 3-2 87 W
27/09 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 19 W
20/09 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 114 L
12/09 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
– 1-0 –– W
04/09 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 1-3 98 L
29/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 87 D
23/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rentistas vs La Luz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rentistas win (41%). Probabilities: Rentistas 41%, draw 29%, La Luz 30%.

How many goals are expected in Rentistas vs La Luz?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Rentistas 1.41 · La Luz 1.16), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Rentistas vs La Luz?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.