Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: FUS Rabat vs HUSA Agadir

Team pages: FUS Rabat · HUSA Agadir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2Total

FUS Rabat1.12

HUSA Agadir0.88

1X2

40% 32% 28%

FUS Rabat Draw HUSA Agadir

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FUS Rabat 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLDDW

HUSA Agadir 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDWLWD

Head-to-head

FUS Rabat 4–1–1 HUSA Agadir (6 last)

HUSA Agadir0-0FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat1-2HUSA Agadir
FUS Rabat2-1HUSA Agadir
HUSA Agadir0-1FUS Rabat
HUSA Agadir1-3FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat2-0HUSA Agadir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FUS Rabat 1446 · HUSA Agadir 1526

	FUS Rabat	Draw	HUSA Agadir
Our model	40%	33%	27%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HUSA Agadir (rating 1446 vs 1526).
H2H favours FUS Rabat: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FUS Rabat	HUSA Agadir
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	1.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:17 +1’	2.20	2.88	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FUS Rabat 4–1–1 HUSA Agadir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	0-0 HT 0-0	FUS Rabat
02/11/25 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	1-2 HT 1-0	HUSA Agadir
08/05/25 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	2-1 HT 1-1	HUSA Agadir
13/12/24 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	0-1 HT 0-1	FUS Rabat
16/02/24 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	1-3 HT 0-1	FUS Rabat
27/09/23 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	2-0 HT 1-0	HUSA Agadir

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KACM Marrakesh	5	3	1	1	7	5	10
2	CODM Meknes	5	3	1	1	9	4	10
3	WAC Casablanca	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
4	Ittihad Tanger	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
5	MAS Fes	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	HUSA Agadir	4	2	1	1	11	8	7
7	Difaa El Jadida	5	2	1	2	12	12	7
8	Union de Touarga	5	2	1	2	3	3	7
9	Widad Temara	5	2	0	3	6	4	6
10	Raja Casablanca	3	1	2	0	2	1	5
11	FUS Rabat	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
12	FAR Rabat	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
13	US Amal Tiznit	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
14	RSB Berkane	3	0	3	0	2	2	3
15	MAT Tetouan	5	0	3	2	2	8	3
16	Renaissance Zemamra	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FUS Rabat	HUSA Agadir
Renaissance Zemamra	1-0 W	5-2 W
Raja Casablanca	1-1 D	0-2 L
Union de Touarga	1-2 L	1-0 W
US Yacoub El Mansour	0-1 L	1-2 L
KACM Marrakesh	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HUSA Agadir (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FUS Rabat

LLWDLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
13/10	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
09/10	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
02/10	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
26/09	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
05/07	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/07	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
28/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
21/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-2	13	4	L

HUSA Agadir

LWDDLDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
08/10	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	3-2	5-2	3	3	W
03/10	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
27/09	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
05/07	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
02/07	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
28/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FUS Rabat vs HUSA Agadir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FUS Rabat win (40%). Probabilities: FUS Rabat 40%, draw 32%, HUSA Agadir 28%.

How many goals are expected in FUS Rabat vs HUSA Agadir?

The model expects 2 goals (FUS Rabat 1.12 · HUSA Agadir 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FUS Rabat vs HUSA Agadir?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.