Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 06/11, 18:00

Prediction: HUSA Agadir vs RSB Berkane

Team pages: HUSA Agadir · RSB Berkane

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

HUSA Agadir0.97

RSB Berkane1.41

1X2

25% 30% 46%

HUSA Agadir Draw RSB Berkane

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

HUSA Agadir 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWDDL

RSB Berkane 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDDDDW

Head-to-head

HUSA Agadir 2–1–3 RSB Berkane (6 last)

HUSA Agadir1-0RSB Berkane
RSB Berkane2-1HUSA Agadir
HUSA Agadir2-0RSB Berkane
RSB Berkane2-1HUSA Agadir
HUSA Agadir0-2RSB Berkane
RSB Berkane0-0HUSA Agadir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HUSA Agadir 1499 · RSB Berkane 1571

	HUSA Agadir	Draw	RSB Berkane
Our model	25%	30%	46%
Market	25%	30%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RSB Berkane (rating 1499 vs 1571).
H2H favours RSB Berkane: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HUSA Agadir	RSB Berkane
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.00

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.43 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.32
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:00 +5’	3.60	3.00	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +17’	4.43	3.32	1.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HUSA Agadir 2–1–3 RSB Berkane

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	1-0 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
04/03/26 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	2-1 HT 1-0	HUSA Agadir
13/04/25 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	2-0 HT 2-0	RSB Berkane
23/11/24 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	2-1 HT 1-0	HUSA Agadir
10/03/24 Morocco GNF 1	HUSA Agadir	0-2 HT 0-0	RSB Berkane
04/11/23 Morocco GNF 1	RSB Berkane	0-0 HT 0-0	HUSA Agadir

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KACM Marrakesh	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	CODM Meknes	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
3	WAC Casablanca	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
4	Ittihad Tanger	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
5	Widad Temara	6	3	0	3	7	4	9
6	Raja Casablanca	6	2	3	1	5	5	9
7	Union de Touarga	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
8	MAS Fes	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
9	FUS Rabat	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
10	HUSA Agadir	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	FAR Rabat	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
12	Difaa El Jadida	6	2	2	2	13	13	8
13	RSB Berkane	5	1	4	0	4	2	7
14	US Amal Tiznit	6	1	1	4	6	12	4
15	MAT Tetouan	6	0	3	3	2	9	3
16	Renaissance Zemamra	6	0	1	5	5	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HUSA Agadir	RSB Berkane
FUS Rabat	0-1 L	1-2 L
Raja Casablanca	1-1 D	2-0 W
FAR Rabat	2-2 D	2-2 D
Renaissance Zemamra	5-2 W	2-2 D
MAS Fes	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RSB Berkane (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HUSA Agadir

DDLDWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
28/10	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/10	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
08/10	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	3-2	5-2	3	3	W
03/10	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
27/09	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-1	3-2	5	3	W
05/07	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
02/07	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
28/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
25/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

RSB Berkane

WDLWWDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
29/10	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
13/10	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-2	2-2	12	2	D
08/10	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/09	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
05/07	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
02/07	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
28/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
25/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
21/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-1	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HUSA Agadir vs RSB Berkane?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RSB Berkane win (46%). Probabilities: HUSA Agadir 25%, draw 30%, RSB Berkane 46%.

How many goals are expected in HUSA Agadir vs RSB Berkane?

The model expects 2.38 goals (HUSA Agadir 0.97 · RSB Berkane 1.41), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in HUSA Agadir vs RSB Berkane?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.