Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 08/11, 21:00
Prediction: Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger
Team pages: Raja Casablanca · Ittihad Tanger
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Raja Casablanca1.44
Ittihad Tanger0.66
1X2
Raja Casablanca
Draw
Ittihad Tanger
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Raja Casablanca
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Ittihad Tanger
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Raja Casablanca
3–2–1
Ittihad Tanger
(6 last)
- Ittihad Tanger1-1Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca2-0Ittihad Tanger
- Raja Casablanca1-1Ittihad Tanger
- Ittihad Tanger3-1Raja Casablanca
- Ittihad Tanger1-2Raja Casablanca
- Raja Casablanca6-1Ittihad Tanger
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raja Casablanca 1556 · Ittihad Tanger 1509
| Raja Casablanca | Draw | Ittihad Tanger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raja Casablanca (rating 1556 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Raja Casablanca: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.9 | 1.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raja Casablanca 3–2–1 Ittihad Tanger
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Raja Casablanca |
| 22/02/26 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
| 23/01/25 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
| 25/09/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Raja Casablanca |
| 28/05/24 Morocco GNF 1 | Ittihad Tanger | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Raja Casablanca |
| 28/12/23 Morocco GNF 1 | Raja Casablanca | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Ittihad Tanger |
Standings · Morocco GNF 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KACM Marrakesh | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | CODM Meknes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | WAC Casablanca | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Ittihad Tanger | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Widad Temara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Raja Casablanca | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Union de Touarga | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | MAS Fes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | FUS Rabat | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | HUSA Agadir | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | FAR Rabat | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Difaa El Jadida | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | RSB Berkane | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | US Amal Tiznit | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
| 15 | MAT Tetouan | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
| 16 | Renaissance Zemamra | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger |
|---|---|---|
| FAR Rabat | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| MAS Fes | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Renaissance Zemamra | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raja Casablanca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/11 | RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/10 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 13/10 | FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Ittihad Tanger
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/10 | MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/10 | MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 24/09 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/07 | Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/06 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Raja Casablanca win (55%). Probabilities: Raja Casablanca 55%, draw 28%, Ittihad Tanger 17%.
How many goals are expected in Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Raja Casablanca 1.44 · Ittihad Tanger 0.66), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Raja Casablanca vs Ittihad Tanger?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.