Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: KACM Marrakesh vs WAC Casablanca

Team pages: KACM Marrakesh · WAC Casablanca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.82Total

KACM Marrakesh0.82

WAC Casablanca1

1X2

28% 33% 38%

KACM Marrakesh Draw WAC Casablanca

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

KACM Marrakesh 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWWWDW

WAC Casablanca 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDDWW

Head-to-head

KACM Marrakesh 0–2–4 WAC Casablanca (6 last)

KACM Marrakesh0-0WAC Casablanca
WAC Casablanca1-0KACM Marrakesh
KACM Marrakesh3-3WAC Casablanca
WAC Casablanca3-1KACM Marrakesh
KACM Marrakesh1-2WAC Casablanca
WAC Casablanca4-1KACM Marrakesh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KACM Marrakesh 1538 · WAC Casablanca 1479

	KACM Marrakesh	Draw	WAC Casablanca
Our model	27%	35%	37%
Market	29%	32%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 1.82 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KACM Marrakesh (rating 1538 vs 1479).
H2H favours WAC Casablanca: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KACM Marrakesh	WAC Casablanca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X2.80

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.92 ★
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +24’	3.10	2.80	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +5’	3.45	2.83	2.17
12:12 +11’	3.92▲	2.34▼	2.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KACM Marrakesh 0–2–4 WAC Casablanca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Morocco GNF 1	KACM Marrakesh	0-0 HT 0-0	WAC Casablanca
12/09/25 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	1-0 HT 1-0	KACM Marrakesh
09/06/19 Morocco GNF 1	KACM Marrakesh	3-3 HT 2-2	WAC Casablanca
27/01/19 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	3-1 HT 0-1	KACM Marrakesh
02/09/18 Morocco Cup	KACM Marrakesh	1-2 HT 1-0	WAC Casablanca
21/04/18 Morocco GNF 1	WAC Casablanca	4-1 HT 1-0	KACM Marrakesh

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KACM Marrakesh	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	CODM Meknes	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
3	WAC Casablanca	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
4	Ittihad Tanger	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
5	Widad Temara	6	3	0	3	7	4	9
6	Raja Casablanca	6	2	3	1	5	5	9
7	Union de Touarga	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
8	MAS Fes	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
9	FUS Rabat	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
10	HUSA Agadir	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	FAR Rabat	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
12	Difaa El Jadida	6	2	2	2	13	13	8
13	RSB Berkane	5	1	4	0	4	2	7
14	US Amal Tiznit	6	1	1	4	6	12	4
15	MAT Tetouan	6	0	3	3	2	9	3
16	Renaissance Zemamra	6	0	1	5	5	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KACM Marrakesh	WAC Casablanca
US Amal Tiznit	1-0 W	1-1 D
Difaa El Jadida	1-1 D	2-0 W
Widad Temara	1-0 W	1-3 L
CODM Meknes	1-0 W	0-0 D
MAS Fes	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KACM Marrakesh (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KACM Marrakesh

WDDDLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
25/10	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
18/10	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
10/10	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
03/10	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
27/09	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
05/07	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
02/07	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
28/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
25/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-0	3	4	W

WAC Casablanca

LLLLLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/10	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
18/10	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	10	1	D
11/10	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
03/10	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
26/09	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
05/07	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
02/07	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
28/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
25/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KACM Marrakesh vs WAC Casablanca?

According to our model, the most likely result is an WAC Casablanca win (38%). Probabilities: KACM Marrakesh 28%, draw 33%, WAC Casablanca 38%.

How many goals are expected in KACM Marrakesh vs WAC Casablanca?

The model expects 1.82 goals (KACM Marrakesh 0.82 · WAC Casablanca 1), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KACM Marrakesh vs WAC Casablanca?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.