Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 08/11, 19:00

Prediction: FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadida

Team pages: FAR Rabat · Difaa El Jadida

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

FAR Rabat2.1

Difaa El Jadida0.92

1X2

63% 23% 14%

FAR Rabat Draw Difaa El Jadida

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FAR Rabat 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWDWDL

Difaa El Jadida 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWWDD

Head-to-head

FAR Rabat 4–1–1 Difaa El Jadida (6 last)

FAR Rabat1-1Difaa El Jadida
FAR Rabat2-1Difaa El Jadida
Difaa El Jadida0-4FAR Rabat
FAR Rabat1-0Difaa El Jadida
Difaa El Jadida1-0FAR Rabat
Difaa El Jadida0-1FAR Rabat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FAR Rabat 1540 · Difaa El Jadida 1491

	FAR Rabat	Draw	Difaa El Jadida
Our model	64%	22%	15%
Market	63%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FAR Rabat (rating 1540 vs 1491).
H2H favours FAR Rabat: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FAR Rabat	Difaa El Jadida
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.1	1.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.42

X3.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.42▲	Pinn 1.51 ★
X	4.33 → 3.75▼	Pinn 3.92
2	8.50 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:18 +5’	1.30	4.33	8.50
11:26 +2’	1.33▲	4.20▼	8.00▼
12:22 +14’	1.40▲	3.90▼	7.00▼
13:20 +9’	1.42▲	3.75▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:26 +2’	1.51	3.92	5.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FAR Rabat 4–1–1 Difaa El Jadida

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/26 World Club Friendlies	FAR Rabat	1-1 HT 1-1	Difaa El Jadida
04/06/26 Morocco GNF 1	FAR Rabat	2-1 HT 1-0	Difaa El Jadida
02/11/25 Morocco GNF 1	Difaa El Jadida	0-4 HT 0-1	FAR Rabat
26/01/25 Morocco GNF 1	FAR Rabat	1-0 HT 0-0	Difaa El Jadida
02/10/24 Morocco GNF 1	Difaa El Jadida	1-0 HT 1-0	FAR Rabat
04/03/23 Morocco GNF 1	Difaa El Jadida	0-1 HT 0-0	FAR Rabat

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KACM Marrakesh	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	CODM Meknes	6	3	2	1	9	4	11
3	WAC Casablanca	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
4	Ittihad Tanger	6	3	1	2	8	7	10
5	Widad Temara	6	3	0	3	7	4	9
6	Raja Casablanca	6	2	3	1	5	5	9
7	Union de Touarga	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
8	MAS Fes	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
9	FUS Rabat	6	2	2	2	4	4	8
10	HUSA Agadir	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	FAR Rabat	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
12	Difaa El Jadida	6	2	2	2	13	13	8
13	RSB Berkane	5	1	4	0	4	2	7
14	US Amal Tiznit	6	1	1	4	6	12	4
15	MAT Tetouan	6	0	3	3	2	9	3
16	Renaissance Zemamra	6	0	1	5	5	12	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FAR Rabat	Difaa El Jadida
CODM Meknes	0-0 D	2-6 L
Union de Touarga	2-2 D	1-1 D
RSB Berkane	2-2 D	1-3 L
KACM Marrakesh	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FAR Rabat (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FAR Rabat

WDDLDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-2	1-2	13	5	L
01/11	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
28/10	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
12/10	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
08/10	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
05/07	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/07	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-3	7	6	L
28/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
25/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	1-1	2-2	1	6	D
21/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	1	4	W

Difaa El Jadida

WDDLLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
25/10	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
17/10	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 1	1-1	4-1	5	6	W
10/10	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 1	3-1	5-2	2	8	W
03/10	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
26/09	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-4	2-6	5	4	L
05/07	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
02/07	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	2-2	2-2	2	3	D
28/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
25/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-1	0	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadida?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FAR Rabat win (63%). Probabilities: FAR Rabat 63%, draw 23%, Difaa El Jadida 14%.

How many goals are expected in FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadida?

The model expects 3.02 goals (FAR Rabat 2.1 · Difaa El Jadida 0.92), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadida?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.