Prediction: CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo
Team pages: CA River Plate · Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo1-1CA River Plate
| CA River Plate | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA River Plate (rating 1486 vs 1412).
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA River Plate | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 11/44/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 6.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA River Plate 0–1–0 Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA River Plate |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA River Plate | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Plaza Colonia | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Oriental | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| La Luz | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Colon FC | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Cerrito | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Atenas | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Rentistas | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/10 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 12/09 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA River Plate win (57%). Probabilities: CA River Plate 57%, draw 26%, Uruguay Montevideo 18%.
How many goals are expected in CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.53 goals (CA River Plate 1.69 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA River Plate vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.