Football · Kosovo Superliga · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: KF Drenica Skenderaj vs Malisheva

Team pages: KF Drenica Skenderaj · Malisheva

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

KF Drenica Skenderaj1.21

Malisheva1.72

1X2

25% 26% 48%

KF Drenica Skenderaj Draw Malisheva

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Drenica Skenderaj 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDLWWDLD

Malisheva 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

KF Drenica Skenderaj 1–1–4 Malisheva (6 last)

Malisheva1-1KF Drenica Skenderaj
Malisheva4-1KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj4-2Malisheva
Malisheva2-0KF Drenica Skenderaj
KF Drenica Skenderaj3-4Malisheva
KF Drenica Skenderaj1-2Malisheva

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Drenica Skenderaj 1463 · Malisheva 1590

	KF Drenica Skenderaj	Draw	Malisheva
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	25%	27%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malisheva (rating 1463 vs 1590).
H2H favours Malisheva: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Drenica Skenderaj	Malisheva
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2	3.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.30

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +5’	3.50	3.30	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Drenica Skenderaj 1–1–4 Malisheva

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	1-1 HT 1-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj
17/05/26 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	4-1	KF Drenica Skenderaj
17/03/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	4-2	Malisheva
06/12/25 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	2-0	KF Drenica Skenderaj
28/09/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	3-4	Malisheva
29/04/23 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-2 HT 1-2	Malisheva

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	10	7	2	1	23	8	23
2	FC Prishtina	9	7	2	0	20	5	23
3	KF Drita	9	5	2	2	11	7	17
4	KF Gjilani	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
5	KF Dukagjini	10	4	5	1	10	6	17
6	KF Ballkani	10	4	1	5	10	10	13
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	10	2	5	3	12	13	11
8	KF Feronikeli	10	2	2	6	7	16	8
9	KF Llapi	10	1	1	8	9	24	4
10	KF Vushtrria	10	1	0	9	5	23	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Drenica Skenderaj	Malisheva
KF Dukagjini	1-1 D	0-2 L
KF Gjilani	0-3 L	3-1 W
KF Feronikeli	2-2 D	3-0 W
KF Llapi	4-0 W	4-0 W
KF Vushtrria	3-0 W	2-1 W
FC Prishtina	1-4 L	1-1 D
KF Drita	0-0 D	1-0 W
KF Ballkani	0-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Malisheva (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Drenica Skenderaj

DDLDLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-1	3	12	D
13/10	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
10/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
20/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	3-0	4-0	1	5	W
13/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-4	2	5	L
05/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
28/08	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
21/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
15/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D

Malisheva

WDWWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
15/10	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
09/10	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
19/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
14/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	1-0	4-0	2	6	W
10/09	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
29/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D
15/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	2-0	6-1	10	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Drenica Skenderaj vs Malisheva?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Malisheva win (48%). Probabilities: KF Drenica Skenderaj 25%, draw 26%, Malisheva 48%.

How many goals are expected in KF Drenica Skenderaj vs Malisheva?

The model expects 2.93 goals (KF Drenica Skenderaj 1.21 · Malisheva 1.72), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Drenica Skenderaj vs Malisheva?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.