Football · Kosovo Superliga · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Malisheva vs KF Feronikeli

Team pages: Malisheva · KF Feronikeli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Malisheva2.15

KF Feronikeli0.6

1X2

73% 19% 9%

Malisheva Draw KF Feronikeli

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Malisheva 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWDWW

KF Feronikeli 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDDLW

Head-to-head

Malisheva 2–3–1 KF Feronikeli (6 last)

KF Feronikeli0-3Malisheva
Malisheva1-0KF Feronikeli
KF Feronikeli0-0Malisheva
Malisheva0-0KF Feronikeli
KF Feronikeli1-1Malisheva
KF Feronikeli2-1Malisheva

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malisheva 1579 · KF Feronikeli 1482

	Malisheva	Draw	KF Feronikeli
Our model	72%	19%	8%
Market	73%	18%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malisheva (rating 1579 vs 1482).
H2H favours Malisheva: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Malisheva	KF Feronikeli
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/22/22%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.9	2.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 09:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	4.80 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	9.50 → 10.00▲	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +6’	1.25	4.80	9.50
01:03 +4’	1.20▼	5.00▲	12.00▲
01:58 +11’	1.22▲	4.75▼	10.00▼
08:48 +18’	1.22	5.00▲	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Malisheva 2–3–1 KF Feronikeli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	0-3	Malisheva
11/05/25 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	1-0	KF Feronikeli
16/03/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	0-0 HT 0-0	Malisheva
08/12/24 Kosovo Superliga	Malisheva	0-0 HT 0-0	KF Feronikeli
29/09/24 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	1-1	Malisheva
27/04/24 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	2-1	Malisheva

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	11	8	2	1	25	8	26
2	FC Prishtina	11	8	2	1	21	8	26
3	KF Drita	11	7	2	2	17	8	23
4	KF Ballkani	12	6	1	5	17	10	19
5	KF Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
6	KF Dukagjini	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
7	KF Feronikeli	11	3	2	6	10	16	11
8	KF Drenica Skenderaj	12	2	5	5	12	19	11
9	KF Llapi	12	1	2	9	10	26	5
10	KF Vushtrria	12	1	0	11	6	29	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Malisheva	KF Feronikeli
KF Drenica Skenderaj	2-0 W	2-2 D
KF Vushtrria	2-1 W	3-1 W
FC Prishtina	1-1 D	0-3 L
KF Drita	1-0 W	1-0 W
KF Ballkani	2-1 W	0-2 L
KF Llapi	4-0 W	0-0 D
KF Dukagjini	0-2 L	3-0 W
KF Gjilani	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Malisheva (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malisheva

DWWLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-0	9	5	W
18/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
15/10	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
09/10	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
19/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
14/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	1-0	4-0	2	6	W
10/09	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	7	7	L
06/09	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
29/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
21/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D

KF Feronikeli

LLLWLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
18/10	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
14/10	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
19/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	7	8	W
13/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
29/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malisheva vs KF Feronikeli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Malisheva win (73%). Probabilities: Malisheva 73%, draw 19%, KF Feronikeli 9%.

How many goals are expected in Malisheva vs KF Feronikeli?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Malisheva 2.15 · KF Feronikeli 0.6), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Malisheva vs KF Feronikeli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.