Football · Kosovo Superliga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: KF Llapi vs FC Prishtina

Team pages: KF Llapi · FC Prishtina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

KF Llapi1.1

FC Prishtina1.87

1X2

21% 25% 54%

KF Llapi Draw FC Prishtina

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Llapi 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLDLD

FC Prishtina 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDWL

Head-to-head

KF Llapi 1–1–4 FC Prishtina (6 last)

FC Prishtina4-0KF Llapi
KF Llapi0-0FC Prishtina
FC Prishtina4-1KF Llapi
KF Llapi2-1FC Prishtina
FC Prishtina3-0KF Llapi
FC Prishtina1-0KF Llapi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Llapi 1422 · FC Prishtina 1573

	KF Llapi	Draw	FC Prishtina
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	21%	26%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Prishtina (rating 1422 vs 1573).
H2H favours FC Prishtina: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Llapi	FC Prishtina
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.6	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.1	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:13 +4’	4.33	3.50	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Llapi 1–1–4 FC Prishtina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	FC Prishtina	4-0 HT 1-0	KF Llapi
18/04/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Llapi	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Prishtina
15/02/26 Kosovo Superliga	FC Prishtina	4-1 HT 2-1	KF Llapi
29/10/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Llapi	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Prishtina
24/08/25 Kosovo Superliga	FC Prishtina	3-0 HT 1-0	KF Llapi
22/05/25 Kosovo Cup	FC Prishtina	1-0 HT 0-0	KF Llapi

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	11	8	2	1	25	8	26
2	FC Prishtina	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	KF Drita	10	6	2	2	14	7	20
4	KF Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	KF Dukagjini	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
6	KF Ballkani	11	5	1	5	13	10	16
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	11	2	5	4	12	15	11
8	KF Feronikeli	11	3	2	6	10	16	11
9	KF Llapi	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
10	KF Vushtrria	11	1	0	10	5	26	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Llapi	FC Prishtina
KF Gjilani	1-1 D	2-1 W
KF Drita	1-2 L	0-3 L
KF Feronikeli	0-0 D	3-0 W
KF Ballkani	0-1 L	1-0 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	0-4 L	4-1 W
Malisheva	0-4 L	1-1 D
KF Vushtrria	4-0 W	1-0 W
KF Dukagjini	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Prishtina (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Llapi

LLLWLLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
17/10	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
14/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
09/10	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-3	0-4	7	5	L
14/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
08/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	–	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-4	4	9	L
23/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	8	4	L

FC Prishtina

WWWWWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-3	3	7	L
19/10	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
15/10	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
11/10	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
18/09	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-1	2-1	2	9	W
13/09	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	3-0	–	–	W
08/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-1	4-1	6	5	W
04/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
30/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	1-0	4-0	4	9	W
16/08	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	3-1	4-2	6	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Llapi vs FC Prishtina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Prishtina win (54%). Probabilities: KF Llapi 21%, draw 25%, FC Prishtina 54%.

How many goals are expected in KF Llapi vs FC Prishtina?

The model expects 2.96 goals (KF Llapi 1.1 · FC Prishtina 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Llapi vs FC Prishtina?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.