Football · Kosovo Superliga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: KF Drita vs KF Vushtrria

Team pages: KF Drita · KF Vushtrria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

KF Drita2.31

KF Vushtrria0.49

1X2

79% 15% 7%

KF Drita Draw KF Vushtrria

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Drita 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWLWWW

KF Vushtrria 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

KF Drita 4–0 KF Vushtrria (4 last)

KF Vushtrria0-1KF Drita
KF Vushtrria0-4KF Drita
KF Vushtrria2-3KF Drita
KF Drita5-1KF Vushtrria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Drita 1563 · KF Vushtrria 1405

	KF Drita	Draw	KF Vushtrria
Our model	78%	17%	6%
Market	80%	13%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Drita (rating 1563 vs 1405).
H2H favours KF Drita: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Drita	KF Vushtrria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.3	0.6 / 1.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.13

X7.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.80

2 (+2.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +5’	1.13	7.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Drita 4–0–0 KF Vushtrria

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Vushtrria	0-1 HT 0-0	KF Drita
24/06/20 Kosovo Superliga	KF Vushtrria	0-4 HT 0-2	KF Drita
21/02/20 Kosovo Superliga	KF Vushtrria	2-3 HT 1-2	KF Drita
03/10/19 Kosovo Superliga	KF Drita	5-1 HT 2-0	KF Vushtrria

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	11	8	2	1	25	8	26
2	FC Prishtina	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
3	KF Drita	10	6	2	2	14	7	20
4	KF Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	KF Dukagjini	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
6	KF Ballkani	11	5	1	5	13	10	16
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	11	2	5	4	12	15	11
8	KF Feronikeli	11	3	2	6	10	16	11
9	KF Llapi	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
10	KF Vushtrria	11	1	0	10	5	26	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Drita	KF Vushtrria
FC Prishtina	3-0 W	0-1 L
KF Llapi	2-1 W	0-4 L
KF Ballkani	1-0 W	1-2 L
Malisheva	0-1 L	1-2 L
KF Dukagjini	2-1 W	0-1 L
KF Gjilani	0-0 D	1-0 W
KF Feronikeli	0-1 L	1-3 L
KF Drenica Skenderaj	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: KF Drita (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Drita

WWDLDWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-0	3	7	W
17/10	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
13/10	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
09/10	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
20/09	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
13/09	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	5	10	D
09/09	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
05/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
30/08	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
16/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-2	5-3	–	–	W

KF Vushtrria

LLLLLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
14/10	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
10/10	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
19/09	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-3	2	8	L
13/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
08/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	0-4	–	–	L
04/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
30/08	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
22/08	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-2	0	5	L
15/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-2	1-6	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Drita vs KF Vushtrria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Drita win (79%). Probabilities: KF Drita 79%, draw 15%, KF Vushtrria 7%.

How many goals are expected in KF Drita vs KF Vushtrria?

The model expects 2.8 goals (KF Drita 2.31 · KF Vushtrria 0.49), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Drita vs KF Vushtrria?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.