Football · Kosovo Superliga · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: KF Dukagjini vs KF Gjilani

Team pages: KF Dukagjini · KF Gjilani

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

KF Dukagjini1.12

KF Gjilani1.22

1X2

32% 30% 37%

KF Dukagjini Draw KF Gjilani

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Dukagjini 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLDWDL

KF Gjilani 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLLWWD

Head-to-head

KF Dukagjini 3–3–0 KF Gjilani (6 last)

KF Gjilani2-2KF Dukagjini
KF Gjilani2-3KF Dukagjini
KF Dukagjini1-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani0-2KF Dukagjini
KF Dukagjini2-0KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani1-1KF Dukagjini

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Dukagjini 1523 · KF Gjilani 1500

	KF Dukagjini	Draw	KF Gjilani
Our model	32%	31%	37%
Market	33%	30%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KF Dukagjini: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Dukagjini	KF Gjilani
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/38/38%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.00

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.75▲	Bet365 2.75
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.88 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:30 +8’	2.30	3.00	2.88
16:54 +2’	2.75▲	3.00	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Dukagjini 3–3–0 KF Gjilani

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	2-2 HT 2-1	KF Dukagjini
19/04/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	2-3 HT 0-1	KF Dukagjini
15/02/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	1-1	KF Gjilani
28/10/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	0-2 HT 0-1	KF Dukagjini
24/08/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	2-0	KF Gjilani
21/04/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	1-1 HT 0-1	KF Dukagjini

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	11	8	2	1	25	8	26
2	FC Prishtina	11	8	2	1	21	8	26
3	KF Drita	11	7	2	2	17	8	23
4	KF Ballkani	12	6	1	5	17	10	19
5	KF Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
6	KF Dukagjini	11	4	5	2	10	9	17
7	KF Feronikeli	11	3	2	6	10	16	11
8	KF Drenica Skenderaj	12	2	5	5	12	19	11
9	KF Llapi	12	1	2	9	10	26	5
10	KF Vushtrria	12	1	0	11	6	29	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Dukagjini	KF Gjilani
KF Feronikeli	0-3 L	1-0 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	1-1 D	3-0 W
KF Vushtrria	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Prishtina	0-0 D	1-2 L
KF Drita	1-2 L	0-0 D
KF Ballkani	0-0 D	1-0 W
Malisheva	2-0 W	1-3 L
KF Llapi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Dukagjini

WDWWDLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
19/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-1	2	12	D
14/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
11/10	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
20/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
14/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-2	2-2	4	8	D
22/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W

KF Gjilani

WDLWDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-1	8	8	D
18/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
10/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	12	2	L
18/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
09/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
29/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
23/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Dukagjini vs KF Gjilani?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KF Gjilani win (37%). Probabilities: KF Dukagjini 32%, draw 30%, KF Gjilani 37%.

How many goals are expected in KF Dukagjini vs KF Gjilani?

The model expects 2.34 goals (KF Dukagjini 1.12 · KF Gjilani 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Dukagjini vs KF Gjilani?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.