Football · Kosovo Superliga · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: KF Feronikeli vs KF Dukagjini

Team pages: KF Feronikeli · KF Dukagjini

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

KF Feronikeli0.74

KF Dukagjini1.28

1X2

22% 30% 49%

KF Feronikeli Draw KF Dukagjini

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-1 16%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Feronikeli 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWDDL

KF Dukagjini 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWDLDWD

Head-to-head

KF Feronikeli 1–5 KF Dukagjini (6 last)

KF Dukagjini1-0KF Feronikeli
KF Dukagjini3-0KF Feronikeli
KF Dukagjini2-1KF Feronikeli
KF Feronikeli1-0KF Dukagjini
KF Dukagjini2-1KF Feronikeli
KF Feronikeli0-2KF Dukagjini

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Feronikeli 1442 · KF Dukagjini 1541

	KF Feronikeli	Draw	KF Dukagjini
Our model	20%	32%	48%
Market	22%	28%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Dukagjini (rating 1442 vs 1541).
H2H favours KF Dukagjini: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Feronikeli	KF Dukagjini
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/57/29%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	6.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.00

X3.20

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:41 +16’	4.00	3.20	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Feronikeli 1–0–5 KF Dukagjini

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	1-0	KF Feronikeli
05/03/26 Kosovo Cup	KF Dukagjini	3-0 HT 2-0	KF Feronikeli
27/04/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	2-1 HT 0-1	KF Feronikeli
01/03/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	1-0 HT 0-0	KF Dukagjini
09/11/24 Kosovo Superliga	KF Dukagjini	2-1 HT 0-0	KF Feronikeli
31/08/24 Kosovo Superliga	KF Feronikeli	0-2 HT 0-1	KF Dukagjini

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	10	7	2	1	23	8	23
2	FC Prishtina	9	7	2	0	20	5	23
3	KF Gjilani	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
4	KF Drita	9	5	2	2	11	7	17
5	KF Dukagjini	10	4	5	1	10	6	17
6	KF Ballkani	10	4	1	5	10	10	13
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	10	2	5	3	12	13	11
8	KF Feronikeli	10	2	2	6	7	16	8
9	KF Llapi	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
10	KF Vushtrria	10	1	0	9	5	23	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Feronikeli	KF Dukagjini
KF Gjilani	0-1 L	2-2 D
KF Llapi	0-0 D	2-1 W
KF Drenica Skenderaj	2-2 D	1-1 D
KF Vushtrria	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Prishtina	0-3 L	0-0 D
KF Drita	1-0 W	1-2 L
KF Ballkani	0-2 L	0-0 D
Malisheva	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KF Dukagjini (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Feronikeli

LLLLWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
14/10	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
19/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	7	8	W
13/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
29/08	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	–	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	0-1	–	–	L
14/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-3	5	6	L

KF Dukagjini

DWDWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-1	2	12	D
14/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
11/10	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
20/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
14/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
10/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
05/09	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	1-2	2-2	4	8	D
22/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	–	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Feronikeli vs KF Dukagjini?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KF Dukagjini win (49%). Probabilities: KF Feronikeli 22%, draw 30%, KF Dukagjini 49%.

How many goals are expected in KF Feronikeli vs KF Dukagjini?

The model expects 2.02 goals (KF Feronikeli 0.74 · KF Dukagjini 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Feronikeli vs KF Dukagjini?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.