Football · Kosovo Superliga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: KF Gjilani vs KF Llapi

Team pages: KF Gjilani · KF Llapi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

KF Gjilani2.01

KF Llapi0.91

1X2

62% 23% 15%

KF Gjilani Draw KF Llapi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

KF Gjilani 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWDLLWW

KF Llapi 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLDL

Head-to-head

KF Gjilani 3–3 KF Llapi (6 last)

KF Llapi0-2KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani1-2KF Llapi
KF Llapi2-3KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani3-0KF Llapi
KF Llapi4-1KF Gjilani
KF Gjilani2-3KF Llapi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Gjilani 1530 · KF Llapi 1423

	KF Gjilani	Draw	KF Llapi
Our model	62%	23%	15%
Market	62%	22%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Gjilani (rating 1530 vs 1423).
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Gjilani	KF Llapi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.00

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +5’	1.44	4.00	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Gjilani 3–0–3 KF Llapi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Llapi	0-2 HT 0-2	KF Gjilani
17/05/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	1-2	KF Llapi
18/03/26 Kosovo Superliga	KF Llapi	2-3 HT 1-1	KF Gjilani
07/12/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	3-0 HT 0-0	KF Llapi
28/09/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Llapi	4-1	KF Gjilani
13/04/25 Kosovo Superliga	KF Gjilani	2-3	KF Llapi

Standings · Kosovo Superliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Malisheva	10	7	2	1	23	8	23
2	FC Prishtina	9	7	2	0	20	5	23
3	KF Drita	9	5	2	2	11	7	17
4	KF Gjilani	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
5	KF Dukagjini	10	4	5	1	10	6	17
6	KF Ballkani	10	4	1	5	10	10	13
7	KF Drenica Skenderaj	10	2	5	3	12	13	11
8	KF Feronikeli	10	2	2	6	7	16	8
9	KF Llapi	10	1	1	8	9	24	4
10	KF Vushtrria	10	1	0	9	5	23	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Gjilani	KF Llapi
KF Feronikeli	1-0 W	0-0 D
KF Drenica Skenderaj	3-0 W	0-4 L
KF Vushtrria	0-1 L	4-0 W
FC Prishtina	1-2 L	0-4 L
KF Drita	0-0 D	1-2 L
KF Ballkani	1-0 W	0-1 L
Malisheva	1-3 L	0-4 L
KF Dukagjini	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: KF Gjilani (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Gjilani

WWDLWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/10	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
10/10	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	12	2	L
18/09	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
13/09	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	1	10	D
09/09	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
06/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
29/08	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	2-1	2-2	3	8	D
23/08	KF Llapi Kosovo Superliga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/08	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	1-0	3-1	3	6	W

KF Llapi

LLLLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
14/10	KF Feronikeli Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
09/10	KF Ballkani Kosovo Superliga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
20/09	KF Drenica Skenderaj Kosovo Superliga	0-3	0-4	7	5	L
14/09	Malisheva Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
08/09	KF Vushtrria Kosovo Superliga	–	4-0	–	–	W
05/09	KF Dukagjini Kosovo Superliga	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/08	FC Prishtina Kosovo Superliga	0-1	0-4	4	9	L
23/08	KF Gjilani Kosovo Superliga	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
16/08	KF Drita Kosovo Superliga	2-2	3-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Gjilani vs KF Llapi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KF Gjilani win (62%). Probabilities: KF Gjilani 62%, draw 23%, KF Llapi 15%.

How many goals are expected in KF Gjilani vs KF Llapi?

The model expects 2.92 goals (KF Gjilani 2.01 · KF Llapi 0.91), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Gjilani vs KF Llapi?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.