Football · Romania Liga I · 24/10, 19:00

Prediction: Farul Constanta vs Otelul Galati

Team pages: Farul Constanta · Otelul Galati

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Farul Constanta1.69

Otelul Galati1.04

1X2

51% 27% 22%

Farul Constanta Draw Otelul Galati

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Farul Constanta 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDDDWLWL

Otelul Galati 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Farul Constanta 2–3–1 Otelul Galati (6 last)

Farul Constanta0-0Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati3-2Farul Constanta
Otelul Galati2-2Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta3-2Otelul Galati
Farul Constanta2-1Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati0-0Farul Constanta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Farul Constanta 1504 · Otelul Galati 1441

	Farul Constanta	Draw	Otelul Galati
Our model	51%	26%	22%
Market	51%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Farul Constanta (rating 1504 vs 1441).
H2H favours Farul Constanta: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Farul Constanta	Otelul Galati
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	0.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4	1.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:44 +29’	1.75	3.30	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Farul Constanta 2–3–1 Otelul Galati

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Farul Constanta	0-0 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
09/05/26 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	3-2 HT 1-0	Farul Constanta
23/11/25 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	2-2 HT 1-1	Farul Constanta
20/07/25 Romania Liga I	Farul Constanta	3-2 HT 2-1	Otelul Galati
27/06/25 Europe Friendlies	Farul Constanta	2-1 HT 2-0	Otelul Galati
16/05/25 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	0-0 HT 0-0	Farul Constanta

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	12	9	2	1	27	7	29
2	Rapid Bucuresti	12	8	3	1	20	9	27
3	CS U Craiova	12	8	2	2	27	9	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	12	6	2	4	15	16	20
5	Universitatea Cluj	12	6	1	5	22	20	19
6	Farul Constanta	12	4	5	3	17	17	17
7	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	12	4	4	4	14	13	16
8	CFR Cluj	12	5	1	6	17	18	16
9	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	12	4	3	5	15	17	15
10	FCSB	11	4	3	4	14	17	15
11	FC Botosani	12	3	5	4	16	14	14
12	ACS Sepsi	12	3	5	4	8	13	14
13	FC Arges Pitesti	12	3	3	6	8	13	12
14	Otelul Galati	12	2	5	5	12	17	11
15	FC Voluntari	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	12	0	2	10	7	25	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Farul Constanta	Otelul Galati
CS U Craiova	0-2 L	1-1 D
Petrolul Ploiesti	3-1 W	0-1 L
Dinamo Bucharest	0-4 L	1-1 D
FC Arges Pitesti	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3-2 W	1-1 D
FCSB	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Farul Constanta

DWDDDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
11/10	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
20/09	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
11/09	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	3-1	4-2	1	2	W
04/09	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
30/08	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
23/08	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
14/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
08/08	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	3-1	3-2	1	6	W
03/08	FCSB Romania Liga I	2-0	2-2	3	6	D

Otelul Galati

DLDWDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
10/10	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/09	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-1	2-3	8	11	L
14/09	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/09	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
28/08	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-2	2-2	8	1	D
24/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
09/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
31/07	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-1	1-1	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Farul Constanta vs Otelul Galati?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Farul Constanta win (51%). Probabilities: Farul Constanta 51%, draw 27%, Otelul Galati 22%.

How many goals are expected in Farul Constanta vs Otelul Galati?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Farul Constanta 1.69 · Otelul Galati 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Farul Constanta vs Otelul Galati?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.