Football · Romania Liga I · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Otelul Galati vs ACS Sepsi

Team pages: Otelul Galati · ACS Sepsi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Otelul Galati1.33

ACS Sepsi1.09

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Otelul Galati Draw ACS Sepsi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Otelul Galati 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDWDLLLLDL

ACS Sepsi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Otelul Galati 2–2–2 ACS Sepsi (6 last)

ACS Sepsi0-3Otelul Galati
ACS Sepsi2-0Otelul Galati
Otelul Galati0-0ACS Sepsi
Otelul Galati2-0ACS Sepsi
Otelul Galati2-3ACS Sepsi
ACS Sepsi1-1Otelul Galati

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Otelul Galati 1426 · ACS Sepsi 1459

	Otelul Galati	Draw	ACS Sepsi
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Otelul Galati	ACS Sepsi
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.7	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 14:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.18
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.42
2	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.21 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:58 +22’	2.10	3.20	3.10
06:12 +5’	2.25▲	3.20	2.90▼
14:28 +4’	2.15▼	3.20	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +25’	2.25	3.33	3.04
20:11 +21’	2.28▲	3.36▲	3.07▲
14:27 +5’	2.18▼	3.42▲	3.21▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Otelul Galati 2–2–2 ACS Sepsi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/25 Romania Liga I	ACS Sepsi	0-3 HT 0-2	Otelul Galati
26/01/25 Romania Liga I	ACS Sepsi	2-0 HT 0-0	Otelul Galati
17/12/24 Romania Cup	Otelul Galati	0-0 HT 0-0	ACS Sepsi
30/08/24 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	2-0 HT 2-0	ACS Sepsi
12/12/23 Romania Liga I	Otelul Galati	2-3 HT 1-1	ACS Sepsi
07/08/23 Romania Liga I	ACS Sepsi	1-1 HT 0-1	Otelul Galati

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	13	9	3	1	29	9	30
2	CS U Craiova	13	9	2	2	32	9	29
3	Rapid Bucuresti	13	8	3	2	21	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	7	2	4	18	17	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	7	1	5	25	20	22
6	FCSB	13	6	3	4	20	19	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	5	5	3	21	20	20
8	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	13	5	3	5	16	17	18
9	CFR Cluj	13	5	2	6	19	20	17
10	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	13	4	4	5	14	16	16
11	FC Botosani	13	3	5	5	17	17	14
12	ACS Sepsi	13	3	5	5	8	18	14
13	FC Arges Pitesti	13	3	3	7	8	14	12
14	Otelul Galati	13	2	5	6	15	21	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	2	2	9	13	29	8
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	13	1	2	10	9	26	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Otelul Galati	ACS Sepsi
Farul Constanta	3-4 L	1-1 D
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1-1 D	0-0 D
FCSB	0-1 L	0-0 D
FC Arges Pitesti	1-0 W	1-0 W
CS U Craiova	1-1 D	0-5 L
Petrolul Ploiesti	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ACS Sepsi (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Otelul Galati

LDWDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-3	3-4	7	3	L
16/10	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
10/10	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
21/09	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-1	2-3	8	11	L
14/09	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/09	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
28/08	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-2	2-2	8	1	D
24/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
09/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	5	6	L

ACS Sepsi

DDDWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-2	0-5	0	2	L
17/10	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
09/10	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
18/09	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
12/09	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	3-1	1	1	W
05/09	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-4	0-5	2	3	L
29/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
23/08	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
15/08	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
10/08	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Otelul Galati vs ACS Sepsi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Otelul Galati win (41%). Probabilities: Otelul Galati 41%, draw 29%, ACS Sepsi 30%.

How many goals are expected in Otelul Galati vs ACS Sepsi?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Otelul Galati 1.33 · ACS Sepsi 1.09), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Otelul Galati vs ACS Sepsi?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.