Football · Romania Liga I · 02/11, 19:30

Prediction: Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB

Team pages: Universitatea Cluj · FCSB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Universitatea Cluj1.68

FCSB1.75

1X2

36% 26% 39%

Universitatea Cluj Draw FCSB

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Universitatea Cluj 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWLDW

FCSB 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Universitatea Cluj 1–1–4 FCSB (6 last)

FCSB1-3Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj0-2FCSB
Universitatea Cluj0-2FCSB
FCSB1-0Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj1-2FCSB
FCSB1-1Universitatea Cluj

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitatea Cluj 1556 · FCSB 1525

	Universitatea Cluj	Draw	FCSB
Our model	36%	24%	39%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FCSB: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universitatea Cluj	FCSB
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.63
2	2.40 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.58 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:14 +11’	2.50	3.40	2.40
06:17 +6’	2.55▲	3.40	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +13’	2.63	3.63	2.45
22:55 +2’	2.52▼	3.63	2.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitatea Cluj 1–1–4 FCSB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Romania Liga I	FCSB	1-3 HT 1-2	Universitatea Cluj
01/11/25 Romania Liga I	Universitatea Cluj	0-2 HT 0-1	FCSB
11/05/25 Romania Liga I	Universitatea Cluj	0-2 HT 0-0	FCSB
05/04/25 Romania Liga I	FCSB	1-0 HT 0-0	Universitatea Cluj
10/11/24 Romania Liga I	Universitatea Cluj	1-2 HT 0-1	FCSB
13/07/24 Romania Liga I	FCSB	1-1 HT 0-0	Universitatea Cluj

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	13	9	3	1	29	9	30
2	CS U Craiova	13	9	2	2	32	9	29
3	Rapid Bucuresti	13	8	3	2	21	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	7	2	4	18	17	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	7	1	5	25	20	22
6	FCSB	13	6	3	4	20	19	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	5	5	3	21	20	20
8	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	13	5	3	5	16	17	18
9	CFR Cluj	13	5	2	6	19	20	17
10	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	13	4	4	5	14	16	16
11	FC Botosani	13	3	5	5	17	17	14
12	ACS Sepsi	13	3	5	5	8	18	14
13	FC Arges Pitesti	13	3	3	7	8	14	12
14	Otelul Galati	13	2	5	6	15	21	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	2	2	9	13	29	8
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	13	1	2	10	9	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universitatea Cluj	FCSB
Rapid Bucuresti	3-4 L	4-1 W
CFR Cluj	3-1 W	0-1 L
FC Voluntari	2-0 W	2-1 W
Otelul Galati	3-0 W	1-0 W
CS U Craiova	0-4 L	0-5 L
Petrolul Ploiesti	2-3 L	2-2 D
Dinamo Bucharest	1-2 L	1-2 L
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Universitatea Cluj (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universitatea Cluj

WLLLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
19/10	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	2-1	2-2	7	7	D
12/10	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	1-2	3-4	11	8	L
08/10	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	3-1	4	5	W
20/09	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
14/09	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
07/09	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
28/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
22/08	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-1	1-2	4	12	L
17/08	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

FCSB

DWLLLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-1	4-1	7	1	W
19/10	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
10/10	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
19/09	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
14/09	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
05/09	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-1	1-2	6	9	L
30/08	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
17/08	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	1-1	3-2	13	6	W
10/08	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FCSB win (39%). Probabilities: Universitatea Cluj 36%, draw 26%, FCSB 39%.

How many goals are expected in Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Universitatea Cluj 1.68 · FCSB 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.