Football · Romania Liga I · 02/11, 16:30

Prediction: FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta

Team pages: FC Voluntari · Farul Constanta

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

FC Voluntari1.34

Farul Constanta1.54

1X2

32% 27% 41%

FC Voluntari Draw Farul Constanta

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Voluntari 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLLL

Farul Constanta 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Voluntari 3–1–2 Farul Constanta (6 last)

FC Voluntari3-0Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari4-2Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari2-0Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta4-1FC Voluntari
FC Voluntari1-1Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta2-1FC Voluntari

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Voluntari 1446 · Farul Constanta 1509

	FC Voluntari	Draw	Farul Constanta
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	32%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Farul Constanta (rating 1446 vs 1509).
H2H favours FC Voluntari: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Voluntari	Farul Constanta
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.87
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.64 ★
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:23 +2’	2.80	3.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +19’	2.68	3.64	2.43
10:22 +1’	2.87▲	3.64	2.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Voluntari 3–1–2 Farul Constanta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Club Friendly List	FC Voluntari	3-0 HT 0-0	Farul Constanta
25/11/23 Romania Liga I	FC Voluntari	4-2 HT 3-0	Farul Constanta
26/09/23 Romania Cup	FC Voluntari	2-0 HT 1-0	Farul Constanta
22/07/23 Romania Liga I	Farul Constanta	4-1 HT 1-1	FC Voluntari
16/12/22 Romania Liga I	FC Voluntari	1-1 HT 0-1	Farul Constanta
22/08/22 Romania Liga I	Farul Constanta	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Voluntari

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	13	9	3	1	29	9	30
2	CS U Craiova	13	9	2	2	32	9	29
3	Rapid Bucuresti	13	8	3	2	21	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	7	2	4	18	17	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	7	1	5	25	20	22
6	FCSB	13	6	3	4	20	19	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	5	5	3	21	20	20
8	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	13	5	3	5	16	17	18
9	CFR Cluj	13	5	2	6	19	20	17
10	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	13	4	4	5	14	16	16
11	FC Botosani	13	3	5	5	17	17	14
12	ACS Sepsi	13	3	5	5	8	18	14
13	FC Arges Pitesti	13	3	3	7	8	14	12
14	Otelul Galati	13	2	5	6	15	21	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	2	2	9	13	29	8
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	13	1	2	10	9	26	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Voluntari	Farul Constanta
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1-2 L	3-2 W
FC Arges Pitesti	1-0 W	1-1 D
Otelul Galati	2-2 D	4-3 W
CS U Craiova	1-3 L	0-2 L
Petrolul Ploiesti	1-2 L	3-1 W
Dinamo Bucharest	0-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Farul Constanta (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Voluntari

LLLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
19/10	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
09/10	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
20/09	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	0-0	0-2	8	2	L
12/09	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
07/09	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
28/08	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	2-1	2-2	7	1	D
23/08	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-1	1-3	1	4	L
14/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
08/08	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-1	0-4	3	3	L

Farul Constanta

WDDDDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	3-0	4-3	2	3	W
18/10	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
11/10	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
20/09	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
11/09	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	3-1	4-2	1	2	W
04/09	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
30/08	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
23/08	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
14/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
08/08	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	3-1	3-2	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Farul Constanta win (41%). Probabilities: FC Voluntari 32%, draw 27%, Farul Constanta 41%.

How many goals are expected in FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta?

The model expects 2.88 goals (FC Voluntari 1.34 · Farul Constanta 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.