Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 21/10, 14:30
Prediction: FK Laktasi vs FK Kozara Gradiska
Team pages: FK Laktasi · FK Kozara Gradiska
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
FK Laktasi2.06
FK Kozara Gradiska0.53
1X2
FK Laktasi
Draw
FK Kozara Gradiska
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Laktasi
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
FK Kozara Gradiska
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Laktasi
5–1
FK Kozara Gradiska
(6 last)
- FK Laktasi2-0FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Laktasi1-0FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Kozara Gradiska1-0FK Laktasi
- FK Kozara Gradiska1-2FK Laktasi
- FK Laktasi3-0FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Kozara Gradiska0-5FK Laktasi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Laktasi 1578 · FK Kozara Gradiska 1479
| FK Laktasi | Draw | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 20% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Laktasi (rating 1578 vs 1479).
- H2H favours FK Laktasi: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Laktasi | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 86/0/14% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Laktasi 5–0–1 FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Laktasi | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 19/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Laktasi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 18/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 1-0 | FK Laktasi |
| 17/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 1-2 | FK Laktasi |
| 09/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Laktasi | 3-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 15/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 0-5 HT 0-3 | FK Laktasi |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Drina Zvornik | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Romanija Pale | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 15 |
| 9 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 11 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 7 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Laktasi | FK Kozara Gradiska |
|---|---|---|
| Leotar | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Omarska | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Romanija Pale | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Drina Zvornik | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Potkozarje | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sutjeska Foca | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Slavija Sarajevo | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Laktasi (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Laktasi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 26/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Laktasi vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Laktasi win (74%). Probabilities: FK Laktasi 74%, draw 18%, FK Kozara Gradiska 9%.
How many goals are expected in FK Laktasi vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model expects 2.59 goals (FK Laktasi 2.06 · FK Kozara Gradiska 0.53), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Laktasi vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.