Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 31/10, 13:30
Prediction: Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla
Team pages: Bratstvo Gracanica · Sloboda Tuzla
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Bratstvo Gracanica1.13
Sloboda Tuzla1.02
1X2
Bratstvo Gracanica
Draw
Sloboda Tuzla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Bratstvo Gracanica
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Sloboda Tuzla
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bratstvo Gracanica
2–1–3
Sloboda Tuzla
(6 last)
- Bratstvo Gracanica1-0Sloboda Tuzla
- Sloboda Tuzla1-0Bratstvo Gracanica
- Bratstvo Gracanica1-1Sloboda Tuzla
- Bratstvo Gracanica0-1Sloboda Tuzla
- Sloboda Tuzla2-0Bratstvo Gracanica
- Bratstvo Gracanica2-1Sloboda Tuzla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bratstvo Gracanica 1492 · Sloboda Tuzla 1539
| Bratstvo Gracanica | Draw | Sloboda Tuzla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sloboda Tuzla (rating 1492 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Sloboda Tuzla: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bratstvo Gracanica | Sloboda Tuzla | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/63/38% | 78/22/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bratstvo Gracanica 2–1–3 Sloboda Tuzla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Europe Friendlies | Bratstvo Gracanica | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 09/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sloboda Tuzla | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 18/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 1-1 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 02/08/25 Club Friendly List | Bratstvo Gracanica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
| 26/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sloboda Tuzla | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 04/11/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sloboda Tuzla |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 33 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Drina Zvornik | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Majevica Lopare | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 8 | Romanija Pale | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bratstvo Gracanica | Sloboda Tuzla |
|---|---|---|
| GOSK Gabela | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Radnik Hadzici | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| NK Zvijezda Gradacac | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| NK Tosk Tesanj | 1-3 L | 4-2 W |
| Buducnost Banovici | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| HNK Tomislav | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sloboda Tuzla (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bratstvo Gracanica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
Sloboda Tuzla
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bratstvo Gracanica win (38%). Probabilities: Bratstvo Gracanica 38%, draw 30%, Sloboda Tuzla 32%.
How many goals are expected in Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Bratstvo Gracanica 1.13 · Sloboda Tuzla 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bratstvo Gracanica vs Sloboda Tuzla?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.