Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: NK Stupcanica Olovo vs NK Travnik

Team pages: NK Stupcanica Olovo · NK Travnik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

NK Stupcanica Olovo1.8

NK Travnik0.99

1X2

55% 25% 20%

NK Stupcanica Olovo Draw NK Travnik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Stupcanica Olovo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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NK Travnik 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

NK Stupcanica Olovo 3–1–2 NK Travnik (6 last)

NK Stupcanica Olovo2-2NK Travnik
NK Travnik1-0NK Stupcanica Olovo
NK Travnik0-1NK Stupcanica Olovo
NK Stupcanica Olovo4-1NK Travnik
NK Stupcanica Olovo2-0NK Travnik
NK Travnik2-1NK Stupcanica Olovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Stupcanica Olovo 1536 · NK Travnik 1573

	NK Stupcanica Olovo	Draw	NK Travnik
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	56%	24%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Stupcanica Olovo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Stupcanica Olovo	NK Travnik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	0/71/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.1	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.70

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +3’	1.61	3.70	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Stupcanica Olovo 3–1–2 NK Travnik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Stupcanica Olovo	2-2 HT 1-1	NK Travnik
11/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Stupcanica Olovo
25/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	0-1	NK Stupcanica Olovo
09/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Stupcanica Olovo	4-1	NK Travnik
21/05/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Stupcanica Olovo	2-0	NK Travnik
29/10/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	2-1 HT 1-1	NK Stupcanica Olovo

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leotar	13	10	3	0	32	6	33
2	FK Laktasi	13	10	1	2	39	10	31
3	FK Drina Zvornik	13	6	3	4	25	11	21
4	FK Kozara Gradiska	13	6	3	4	16	12	21
5	FK Potkozarje	13	6	2	5	14	13	20
6	FK Majevica Lopare	12	5	4	3	21	15	19
7	FK Rudar Prijedor	13	5	3	5	18	21	18
8	Romanija Pale	13	6	0	7	20	26	18
9	FK Famos Vojkovici	13	5	2	6	15	20	17
10	Slavija Sarajevo	13	3	5	5	13	21	14
11	Sutjeska Foca	12	3	2	7	7	16	11
12	FC Velez Nevesinje	13	3	2	8	11	34	11
13	FK Omarska	13	2	4	7	8	19	10
14	Zvijezda 09	13	2	2	9	10	25	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Stupcanica Olovo	NK Travnik
Sloboda Tuzla	0-1 L	0-2 L
GOSK Gabela	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Radnik Hadzici	3-1 W	1-0 W
NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-1 D	1-0 W
NK Tosk Tesanj	0-2 L	2-1 W
Buducnost Banovici	4-1 W	3-0 W
HNK Tomislav	1-2 L	4-2 W
NK Vitez	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Travnik (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Stupcanica Olovo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
18/10	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
10/10	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-0	3-1	0	3	W
03/10	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
20/09	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	4-1	8	2	W
12/09	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
29/08	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-0	2	8	W
26/08	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	3-0	3	5	W

NK Travnik

WWWWWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
10/10	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
03/10	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-2	2-2	5	9	D
26/09	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
20/09	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
13/09	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-1	1	8	W
05/09	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
29/08	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-2	–	–	W
23/08	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Stupcanica Olovo vs NK Travnik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Stupcanica Olovo win (55%). Probabilities: NK Stupcanica Olovo 55%, draw 25%, NK Travnik 20%.

How many goals are expected in NK Stupcanica Olovo vs NK Travnik?

The model expects 2.79 goals (NK Stupcanica Olovo 1.8 · NK Travnik 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Stupcanica Olovo vs NK Travnik?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.