Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 31/10, 13:30
Prediction: NK Vitez vs NK Tosk Tesanj
Team pages: NK Vitez · NK Tosk Tesanj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
NK Vitez1.55
NK Tosk Tesanj1.12
1X2
NK Vitez
Draw
NK Tosk Tesanj
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Vitez
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
NK Tosk Tesanj
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Vitez
1–3
NK Tosk Tesanj
(4 last)
- NK Tosk Tesanj1-0NK Vitez
- NK Vitez2-1NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj2-0NK Vitez
- NK Vitez1-3NK Tosk Tesanj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Vitez 1465 · NK Tosk Tesanj 1536
| NK Vitez | Draw | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Tosk Tesanj (rating 1465 vs 1536).
- H2H favours NK Tosk Tesanj: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Vitez | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 43/29/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.5 / 6.7 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Vitez 1–0–3 NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NK Vitez |
| 20/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Vitez | 2-1 HT 2-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 28/04/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 2-0 | NK Vitez |
| 06/10/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Vitez | 1-3 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 33 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Drina Zvornik | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Majevica Lopare | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 8 | Romanija Pale | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Vitez | NK Tosk Tesanj |
|---|---|---|
| Rudar Kakanj | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| HNK Capljina | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Igman Konjic | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| NK Stupcanica Olovo | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Jedinstvo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Travnik | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Tosk Tesanj (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Vitez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Vitez vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Vitez win (47%). Probabilities: NK Vitez 47%, draw 27%, NK Tosk Tesanj 27%.
How many goals are expected in NK Vitez vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model expects 2.66 goals (NK Vitez 1.55 · NK Tosk Tesanj 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Vitez vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.