Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: Slavija Sarajevo vs FC Velez Nevesinje
Team pages: Slavija Sarajevo · FC Velez Nevesinje
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Slavija Sarajevo2.4
FC Velez Nevesinje0.75
1X2
Slavija Sarajevo
Draw
FC Velez Nevesinje
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Slavija Sarajevo
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
FC Velez Nevesinje
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavija Sarajevo
3–1–2
FC Velez Nevesinje
(6 last)
- FC Velez Nevesinje1-1Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo4-2FC Velez Nevesinje
- FC Velez Nevesinje2-1Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo0-1FC Velez Nevesinje
- FC Velez Nevesinje3-5Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo2-0FC Velez Nevesinje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slavija Sarajevo 1483 · FC Velez Nevesinje 1441
| Slavija Sarajevo | Draw | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slavija Sarajevo (rating 1483 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Slavija Sarajevo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavija Sarajevo | FC Velez Nevesinje | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/43/29% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavija Sarajevo 3–1–2 FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 1-1 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 26/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 4-2 HT 3-0 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 30/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 2-1 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 17/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
| 09/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FC Velez Nevesinje | 3-5 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 16/03/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 2-0 | FC Velez Nevesinje |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leotar | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 33 |
| 2 | FK Laktasi | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Drina Zvornik | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | FK Majevica Lopare | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 8 | Romanija Pale | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 26 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 11 |
| 12 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavija Sarajevo | FC Velez Nevesinje |
|---|---|---|
| Leotar | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Romanija Pale | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| FK Potkozarje | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Zvijezda 09 | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Kozara Gradiska | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Omarska | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Slavija Sarajevo (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavija Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
FC Velez Nevesinje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-8 | – | – | L |
| 21/10 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavija Sarajevo vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavija Sarajevo win (74%). Probabilities: Slavija Sarajevo 74%, draw 17%, FC Velez Nevesinje 10%.
How many goals are expected in Slavija Sarajevo vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Slavija Sarajevo 2.4 · FC Velez Nevesinje 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavija Sarajevo vs FC Velez Nevesinje?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.