Football · Panama Liga Prom · 22/10, 01:00

Prediction: Alianza FC Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves

Team pages: Alianza FC Reserves · Plaza Amador Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Alianza FC Reserves1.04

Plaza Amador Reserves1.8

1X2

21% 24% 55%

Alianza FC Reserves Draw Plaza Amador Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Alianza FC Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWLLDW

Plaza Amador Reserves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Alianza FC Reserves 1–2–3 Plaza Amador Reserves (6 last)

Plaza Amador Reserves4-1Alianza FC Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves1-1Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves0-1Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves5-1Alianza FC Reserves
Alianza FC Reserves1-1Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves0-1Alianza FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza FC Reserves 1468 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1551

	Alianza FC Reserves	Draw	Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1468 vs 1551).
H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Alianza FC Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.6	1.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.10

X4.00

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +11’	4.10	4.00	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Reserves 1–2–3 Plaza Amador Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	4-1 HT 1-1	Alianza FC Reserves
24/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Alianza FC Reserves
06/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
17/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	5-1 HT 2-0	Alianza FC Reserves
26/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Alianza FC Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador Reserves
09/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	Alianza FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tauro FC Reserves	13	7	4	2	26	17	25
2	Chorrillo	12	7	3	2	22	9	24
3	Plaza Amador Reserves	12	6	2	4	26	18	20
4	Potros Del Este	13	3	3	7	13	17	12
5	Alianza FC Reserves	12	3	3	6	9	18	12
6	San Martin FC	12	2	1	9	16	29	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alianza FC Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
San Martin FC	1-0 W	3-2 W
UMECIT Reserves	0-0 D	6-4 W
Champions FC Academy	1-3 L	6-1 W
Academia Costa Del Este	0-2 L	0-3 L
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-0 W	4-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-2 L	1-0 W
Panama City FC	0-1 L	2-2 D
Tauro FC Reserves	1-1 D	0-1 L
Potros Del Este	2-1 W	0-0 D
Chorrillo	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza FC Reserves

DWDLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
02/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
25/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
18/09	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
11/09	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
29/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	5	10	D
15/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
06/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	3	8	D

Plaza Amador Reserves

LLWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	1	7	D
12/09	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-4	3	6	W
04/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-1	3	3	W
28/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
22/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
12/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador Reserves win (55%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Reserves 21%, draw 24%, Plaza Amador Reserves 55%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Alianza FC Reserves 1.04 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1.8), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.