Football · Argentina Nacional B · 24/10, 22:00
Prediction: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Team pages: Almirante Brown · Deportivo Moron
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Almirante Brown1.14
Deportivo Moron0.98
1X2
Almirante Brown
Draw
Deportivo Moron
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Almirante Brown
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Moron
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almirante Brown
1–2–3
Deportivo Moron
(6 last)
- Deportivo Moron1-0Almirante Brown
- Deportivo Moron2-0Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-1Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown1-1Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown0-1Deportivo Moron
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1471 · Deportivo Moron 1505
| Almirante Brown | Draw | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 1–2–3 Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 14/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 09/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Moron |
| 25/08/24 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Moron | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 06/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Moron |
| 27/08/23 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Moron |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 65 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 54 |
| 5 | Colon | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 54 |
| 6 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 51 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 24 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 48 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 26 | 25 | 41 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 40 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 40 | 40 |
| 12 | Club Atletico Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 39 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 37 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 37 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 37 | 37 |
| 16 | All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 19 | 29 | 35 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 33 |
| 18 | CA San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Colon | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| CA San Miguel | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| CA San Telmo | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Central Norte | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Moron (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/09 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 27/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almirante Brown win (38%). Probabilities: Almirante Brown 38%, draw 33%, Deportivo Moron 30%.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Almirante Brown 1.14 · Deportivo Moron 0.98), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.