Football · Argentina Nacional B · 01/11, 19:00
Prediction: Colon vs Defensores de Belgrano
Team pages: Colon · Defensores de Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
Colon1.44
Defensores de Belgrano0.64
1X2
Colon
Draw
Defensores de Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Colon
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Belgrano
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colon
2–3
Defensores de Belgrano
(5 last)
- Defensores de Belgrano0-3Colon
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0Colon
- Colon0-1Defensores de Belgrano
- Colon2-0Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano1-0Colon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colon 1538 · Defensores de Belgrano 1467
| Colon | Draw | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | 55% | 30% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colon (rating 1538 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colon | Defensores de Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon 2–0–3 Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Colon |
| 02/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Colon |
| 28/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Colon | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 28/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Colon | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 14/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colon |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 65 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 31 | 57 |
| 5 | Colon | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 43 | 27 | 57 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 51 |
| 7 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 31 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 49 |
| 9 | CA Chaco For Ever | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 36 | 43 |
| 10 | Los Andes | 35 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 26 | 42 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 42 | 40 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | Club Atletico Mitre | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 39 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 38 |
| 15 | All Boys | 35 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 21 | 30 | 38 |
| 16 | CA San Telmo | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 41 | 38 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 34 |
| 18 | CA San Miguel | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 33 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colon | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Los Andes | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Racing de Cordoba | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| CA San Miguel | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colon (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 19/10 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 09/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colon vs Defensores de Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon win (55%). Probabilities: Colon 55%, draw 29%, Defensores de Belgrano 15%.
How many goals are expected in Colon vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Colon 1.44 · Defensores de Belgrano 0.64), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Colon vs Defensores de Belgrano?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.