Football · Argentina Nacional B · 01/11, 23:00
Prediction: Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes
Team pages: Gimnasia y Tiro · Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Gimnasia y Tiro1.06
Quilmes0.8
1X2
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia y Tiro
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia y Tiro
1–1–1
Quilmes
(3 last)
- Quilmes1-0Gimnasia y Tiro
- Gimnasia y Tiro2-1Quilmes
- Quilmes1-1Gimnasia y Tiro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia y Tiro 1496 · Quilmes 1470
| Gimnasia y Tiro | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia y Tiro | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Tiro 1–1–1 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 14/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 54 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 51 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 48 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 46 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 42 |
| 14 | Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 39 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 37 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 60 | 26 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia y Tiro | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Agropecuario | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| CA Guemes | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| San Martin SJ | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 10/10 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 12/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Tiro win (41%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Tiro 41%, draw 33%, Quilmes 27%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Gimnasia y Tiro 1.06 · Quilmes 0.8), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.