Football · Argentina Nacional B · 01/11, 22:30
Prediction: San Martin de Tucuman vs CA Colegiales
Team pages: San Martin de Tucuman · CA Colegiales
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
San Martin de Tucuman1.19
CA Colegiales0.96
1X2
San Martin de Tucuman
Draw
CA Colegiales
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
San Martin de Tucuman
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CA Colegiales
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Martin de Tucuman
1–2
CA Colegiales
(3 last)
- CA Colegiales2-0San Martin de Tucuman
- CA Colegiales2-0San Martin de Tucuman
- San Martin de Tucuman2-0CA Colegiales
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Martin de Tucuman 1493 · CA Colegiales 1552
| San Martin de Tucuman | Draw | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 33% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Colegiales (rating 1493 vs 1552).
- H2H favours CA Colegiales: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin de Tucuman | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Tucuman 1–0–2 CA Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 2-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 06/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 2-0 HT 2-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 03/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 63 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 44 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 54 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 51 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 35 | 48 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 46 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 46 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 38 | 43 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 30 | 42 |
| 14 | Almagro | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 42 | 42 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 27 | 35 | 39 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 35 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 37 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 60 | 26 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin de Tucuman | CA Colegiales |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Agropecuario | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Guemes | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Colegiales (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 04/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin de Tucuman vs CA Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Tucuman win (39%). Probabilities: San Martin de Tucuman 39%, draw 33%, CA Colegiales 28%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin de Tucuman vs CA Colegiales?
The model expects 2.15 goals (San Martin de Tucuman 1.19 · CA Colegiales 0.96), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin de Tucuman vs CA Colegiales?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.