Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 04/11, 10:15

Prediction: Sparta Prague B vs Viktoria Plzen B

Team pages: Sparta Prague B · Viktoria Plzen B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Sparta Prague B1.77

Viktoria Plzen B1.31

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Sparta Prague B Draw Viktoria Plzen B

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sparta Prague B 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWWDLD

Viktoria Plzen B 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Sparta Prague B 1–0 Viktoria Plzen B (1 last)

Viktoria Plzen B0-2Sparta Prague B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sparta Prague B 1528 · Viktoria Plzen B 1567

	Sparta Prague B	Draw	Viktoria Plzen B
Our model	47%	25%	27%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sparta Prague B	Viktoria Plzen B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.1	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.83▲	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00
2	3.20 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.21

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:50 +13’	1.80	4.10	3.20
19:57 +12’	1.90▲	4.00▼	2.90▼
05:36 +25’	1.83▼	4.00	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:01 +2’	1.87	3.82	3.31
14:56 +9’	1.85▼	3.82	3.37▲
06:49 +12’	1.84▼	3.86▲	3.37
08:42 +19’	1.85▲	3.93▲	3.42▲
09:47 +14’	2.01▲	3.62▼	3.21▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Prague B 1–0–0 Viktoria Plzen B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/11/19 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	0-2 HT 0-1	Sparta Prague B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	15	10	2	3	32	20	32
2	Frydek Mistek	15	9	3	3	27	14	30
3	SK Artis Brno B	15	8	5	2	23	10	29
4	Sigma Olomouc B	15	9	1	5	33	18	28
5	FC Brno II	15	8	3	4	32	26	27
6	SK Hranice	15	7	2	6	19	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	15	6	4	5	33	30	22
8	MFK Vitkovice	15	6	4	5	21	18	22
9	Slovacko II	15	6	3	6	25	19	21
10	CSK Uhersky Brod	15	6	3	6	25	25	21
11	FK Hodonin	15	6	2	7	21	18	20
12	MFK Karvina B	15	6	2	7	25	25	20
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	15	5	4	6	19	23	19
14	SFK Vrchovina	15	5	2	8	17	32	17
15	FK Blansko	15	3	5	7	21	33	14
16	Polanka	15	3	3	9	16	27	12
17	MFK Havirov	15	2	5	8	12	24	11
18	FC Vsetin	15	3	1	11	12	33	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sparta Prague B	Viktoria Plzen B
FC Pisek	0-1 L	2-2 D
Dukla Praha B	2-1 W	3-0 W
Bohemians 1905 B	4-1 W	0-3 L
Benesov	1-1 D	3-0 W
FK Pribram B	4-0 W	3-1 W
FK Admira Praha	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen B (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sparta Prague B

LWDDWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
25/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
17/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
11/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	1	W
19/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	4	2	W
13/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-1	6	2	W
06/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
30/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
16/08	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Viktoria Plzen B

WLWWLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
24/10	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	3	5	W
18/10	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
09/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	9	D
04/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
20/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
06/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	8	L
22/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sparta Prague B vs Viktoria Plzen B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sparta Prague B win (48%). Probabilities: Sparta Prague B 48%, draw 24%, Viktoria Plzen B 28%.

How many goals are expected in Sparta Prague B vs Viktoria Plzen B?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Sparta Prague B 1.77 · Viktoria Plzen B 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sparta Prague B vs Viktoria Plzen B?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.