Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: FK Horni Redice vs SK Sokol Zapy

Team pages: FK Horni Redice · SK Sokol Zapy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

FK Horni Redice1.04

SK Sokol Zapy2.39

1X2

15% 19% 67%

FK Horni Redice Draw SK Sokol Zapy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Horni Redice 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWLL

SK Sokol Zapy 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLWLDW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horni Redice 1447 · SK Sokol Zapy 1527

	FK Horni Redice	Draw	SK Sokol Zapy
Our model	14%	20%	66%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sokol Zapy (rating 1447 vs 1527).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Horni Redice	SK Sokol Zapy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	1.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	3.9 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.93

2 (-1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:46 +17’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Horni Redice	SK Sokol Zapy
Varnsdorf	3-1 W	4-4 D
Slovan Liberec B	1-5 L	2-1 W
MFK Chrudim	1-2 L	3-0 W
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-2 L	0-0 D
FK Teplice B	4-1 W	2-1 W
Zenit Caslav	1-2 L	2-3 L
SK Sokol Brozany	1-3 L	0-0 D
Banik Most-Sous	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sokol Zapy (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Horni Redice

WLLWLLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
31/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
28/10	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
24/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	7	0	L
17/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
10/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
26/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
20/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
05/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W

SK Sokol Zapy

DWWWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
01/11	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
25/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-4	8	0	L
18/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W
11/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-3	12	1	L
04/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
27/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	9	W
20/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
16/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
12/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horni Redice vs SK Sokol Zapy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Sokol Zapy win (67%). Probabilities: FK Horni Redice 15%, draw 19%, SK Sokol Zapy 67%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horni Redice vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FK Horni Redice 1.04 · SK Sokol Zapy 2.39), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horni Redice vs SK Sokol Zapy?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.