Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: Aritma Praha vs Jiskra Domazlice

Team pages: Aritma Praha · Jiskra Domazlice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.18Total

Aritma Praha1.66

Jiskra Domazlice2.52

1X2

24% 20% 56%

Aritma Praha Draw Jiskra Domazlice

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Aritma Praha 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDLDLD

Jiskra Domazlice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLLWW

Head-to-head

Aritma Praha 0–3 Jiskra Domazlice (3 last)

Jiskra Domazlice3-2Aritma Praha
Aritma Praha0-1Jiskra Domazlice
Jiskra Domazlice4-1Aritma Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aritma Praha 1441 · Jiskra Domazlice 1550

	Aritma Praha	Draw	Jiskra Domazlice
Our model	24%	20%	56%
Market	24%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiskra Domazlice (rating 1441 vs 1550).
H2H favours Jiskra Domazlice: 3-0-0.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aritma Praha	Jiskra Domazlice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.8	3.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	4.4 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.33

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 1.45 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:22 +40’	3.80	4.33	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aritma Praha 0–0–3 Jiskra Domazlice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Jiskra Domazlice	3-2 HT 3-0	Aritma Praha
10/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	0-1 HT 0-0	Jiskra Domazlice
14/09/22 Czechia Cup	Jiskra Domazlice	4-1 HT 2-0	Aritma Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aritma Praha	Jiskra Domazlice
FC Pisek	2-4 L	5-3 W
Dukla Praha B	0-0 D	3-2 W
Viktoria Plzen B	0-3 L	1-4 L
Bohemians 1905 B	3-3 D	2-7 L
FK Pribram B	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Admira Praha	3-2 W	4-4 D
Ceske Budejovice	0-7 L	6-3 W
Slavia Prague U20	1-3 L	2-0 W
Motorlet Praha	0-4 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jiskra Domazlice (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aritma Praha

LLLWDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
30/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
24/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
18/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	4	L
10/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	5	8	D
03/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
19/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-7	1	1	L
12/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
05/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	10	5	L

Jiskra Domazlice

WWWWDDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	5-3	7	5	W
31/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	10	4	W
24/10	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
18/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-5	2-7	10	4	L
10/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
04/10	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	4-1	4-4	4	2	D
26/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-3	8	2	W
19/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
12/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	5-2	8	8	W
05/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aritma Praha vs Jiskra Domazlice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jiskra Domazlice win (56%). Probabilities: Aritma Praha 24%, draw 20%, Jiskra Domazlice 56%.

How many goals are expected in Aritma Praha vs Jiskra Domazlice?

The model expects 4.18 goals (Aritma Praha 1.66 · Jiskra Domazlice 2.52), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aritma Praha vs Jiskra Domazlice?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.