Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 14/11, 10:15

Prediction: FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Velke Hamry

Team pages: FK Neratovice-Byskovice · Velke Hamry

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

FK Neratovice-Byskovice2.2

Velke Hamry1.1

1X2

62% 21% 18%

FK Neratovice-Byskovice Draw Velke Hamry

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Velke Hamry 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWLDLW

Head-to-head

FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1–1–0 Velke Hamry (2 last)

Velke Hamry1-1FK Neratovice-Byskovice
FK Neratovice-Byskovice2-0Velke Hamry

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1512 · Velke Hamry 1469

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Draw	Velke Hamry
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Neratovice-Byskovice (rating 1512 vs 1469).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Velke Hamry
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:34 +28’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1–1–0 Velke Hamry

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
15/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	2-0 HT 0-0	Velke Hamry

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Frydek Mistek	16	10	3	3	30	15	33
2	SK Unicov	16	10	3	3	36	24	33
3	Sigma Olomouc B	16	10	1	5	35	18	31
4	SK Artis Brno B	16	8	6	2	27	14	30
5	FC Brno II	16	9	3	4	36	27	30
6	FK Hodonin	16	7	2	7	25	18	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	16	6	5	5	34	31	23
8	MFK Karvina B	16	7	2	7	28	25	23
9	MFK Vitkovice	16	6	5	5	22	19	23
10	SK Hranice	16	7	2	7	20	22	23
11	Slovacko II	16	6	4	6	26	20	22
12	CSK Uhersky Brod	16	6	3	7	26	27	21
13	FC Trinity Zlin B	16	5	4	7	20	26	19
14	FK Blansko	16	4	5	7	23	34	17
15	SFK Vrchovina	16	5	2	9	17	34	17
16	MFK Havirov	16	2	6	8	13	25	12
17	Polanka	16	3	3	10	16	31	12
18	FC Vsetin	16	3	1	12	12	36	10

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Neratovice-Byskovice	Velke Hamry
FK Horni Redice	2-0 W	3-0 W
MFK Chrudim	6-1 W	0-1 L
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-0 D	3-3 D
Pardubice B	3-0 W	0-6 L
FK Teplice B	2-0 W	2-0 W
Zenit Caslav	0-2 L	1-2 L
SK Sokol Brozany	2-2 D	4-2 W
Banik Most-Sous	0-4 L	0-3 L
Hradec Kralove B	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Velke Hamry (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Neratovice-Byskovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	12	1	L
31/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
24/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-1	7	2	W
18/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	6	W
26/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	9	1	L
20/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

Velke Hamry

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
31/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
24/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-3	7	5	D
18/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-6	6	3	L
10/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Velke Hamry?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Neratovice-Byskovice win (62%). Probabilities: FK Neratovice-Byskovice 62%, draw 21%, Velke Hamry 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Velke Hamry?

The model expects 3.31 goals (FK Neratovice-Byskovice 2.2 · Velke Hamry 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Neratovice-Byskovice vs Velke Hamry?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.