Football · Hungary NB III · 25/10, 11:00

Prediction: Kisvarda II vs Debreceni II

Team pages: Kisvarda II · Debreceni II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Kisvarda II2.03

Debreceni II1.48

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Kisvarda II Draw Debreceni II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kisvarda II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWDWWD

Debreceni II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Kisvarda II 3–3–0 Debreceni II (6 last)

Kisvarda II4-1Debreceni II
Debreceni II1-2Kisvarda II
Debreceni II1-2Kisvarda II
Kisvarda II1-1Debreceni II
Kisvarda II0-0Debreceni II
Debreceni II1-1Kisvarda II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kisvarda II 1562 · Debreceni II 1535

	Kisvarda II	Draw	Debreceni II
Our model	50%	23%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kisvarda II: 3-3-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kisvarda II	Debreceni II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 6.8	3.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:54 +11’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kisvarda II 3–3–0 Debreceni II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	4-1 HT 1-1	Debreceni II
21/09/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-2 HT 1-1	Kisvarda II
08/03/25 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-2 HT 1-2	Kisvarda II
18/08/24 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	1-1 HT 0-0	Debreceni II
22/10/23 Hungary NB III	Kisvarda II	0-0 HT 0-0	Debreceni II
26/03/23 Hungary NB III	Debreceni II	1-1 HT 1-1	Kisvarda II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	13	11	0	2	42	11	33
2	Cigand SE	13	10	2	1	34	9	32
3	DEAC	13	8	2	3	32	18	26
4	Debreceni II	12	7	1	4	31	22	22
5	Godolloi SK	13	7	1	5	22	14	22
6	Kisvarda II	12	5	6	1	20	13	21
7	Mateszalkai MTK	13	5	5	3	21	15	20
8	Diosgyori VTK II	13	5	4	4	23	20	19
9	FC Tiszaujvaros	13	5	2	6	17	20	17
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	13	5	2	6	15	18	17
11	Egri FC	13	5	2	6	14	26	17
12	Salgotarjani BTC	13	4	0	9	10	21	12
13	Tiszafured VSE	12	3	1	8	6	18	10
14	Hajdunanas FK	12	3	1	8	18	36	10
15	Tarpa SC	13	3	0	10	10	30	9
16	Nyiregyhaza II	13	1	1	11	12	36	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kisvarda II	Debreceni II
Nyiregyhaza II	2-2 D	4-0 W
Tarpa SC	3-0 W	2-1 W
Tiszafured VSE	2-0 W	3-1 W
Cigand SE	1-1 D	2-4 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	1-0 W	3-1 W
Ozd Sajovolgye	2-3 L	2-5 L
Egri FC	1-1 D	5-2 W
DEAC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kisvarda II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kisvarda II

WWDDLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	2-0	3-0	6	5	W
03/10	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
20/09	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
06/09	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	9	7	D
26/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	2-0	3-2	4	5	W

Debreceni II

LDWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	2-1	2-1	9	3	W
11/10	Nyiregyhaza II Hungary NB III	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	2-1	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
05/09	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
29/08	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
26/08	Egri FC Hungary NB III	1-1	5-2	5	4	W
19/08	Diosgyori VTK II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	DEAC Hungary NB III	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kisvarda II vs Debreceni II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kisvarda II win (50%). Probabilities: Kisvarda II 50%, draw 23%, Debreceni II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kisvarda II vs Debreceni II?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Kisvarda II 2.03 · Debreceni II 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kisvarda II vs Debreceni II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.