Football · Hungary NB III · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: Balatonalmadi SE vs Komarom VSE

Team pages: Balatonalmadi SE · Komarom VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Balatonalmadi SE1.54

Komarom VSE1.59

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Balatonalmadi SE Draw Komarom VSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Balatonalmadi SE 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDDLW

Komarom VSE 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLDWLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Balatonalmadi SE 1447 · Komarom VSE 1489

	Balatonalmadi SE	Draw	Komarom VSE
Our model	36%	26%	38%
Market	38%	22%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Komarom VSE (rating 1447 vs 1489).
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Balatonalmadi SE	Komarom VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.5	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.40

X4.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:47 +18’	2.40	4.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dorogi FC	13	9	3	1	36	12	30
2	FC Tatabanya	13	9	3	1	31	10	30
3	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	12	7	5	0	33	12	26
4	SC Sopron	13	6	3	4	22	17	21
5	Sarisapi BSE	13	6	3	4	20	20	21
6	MTE 1904	13	5	5	3	19	13	20
7	Bicskei TC	13	6	1	6	27	26	19
8	Komarom VSE	12	5	3	4	17	18	18
9	Puskas Academy II	12	5	2	5	26	23	17
10	Zalaegerszegi TE II	13	5	2	6	23	24	17
11	Györi ETO II	12	4	2	6	16	17	14
12	Veszprem FC	12	3	4	5	20	25	13
13	Kiraly SZE	13	3	4	6	17	25	13
14	Papai Perutz	13	3	2	8	10	25	11
15	Balatonalmadi SE	12	2	2	8	11	33	8
16	1908 SZAC Budapest	13	0	2	11	6	34	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Balatonalmadi SE	Komarom VSE
Puskas Academy II	1-1 D	2-1 W
SC Sopron	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Tatabanya	0-4 L	0-2 L
Bicskei TC	2-4 L	5-4 W
Györi ETO II	0-2 L	1-1 D
MTE 1904	0-1 L	0-0 D
Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE	1-6 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Komarom VSE (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Balatonalmadi SE

LLLLLWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	11	5	W
11/10	Veszprem FC Hungary NB III	0-3	0-4	1	4	L
03/10	Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III	2-1	2-2	5	7	D
27/09	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
05/09	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
30/08	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
26/08	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
16/08	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-6	0	2	L

Komarom VSE

WWLDLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sarisapi BSE Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
10/10	SC Sopron Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	1	9	L
03/10	FC Tatabanya Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	3	13	L
26/09	Bicskei TC Hungary NB III	4-1	5-4	2	2	W
19/09	Györi ETO II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
06/09	Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
29/08	MTE 1904 Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
26/08	Dorogi FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	9	L
15/08	Papai Perutz Hungary NB III	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
12/08	Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Balatonalmadi SE vs Komarom VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Komarom VSE win (39%). Probabilities: Balatonalmadi SE 37%, draw 24%, Komarom VSE 39%.

How many goals are expected in Balatonalmadi SE vs Komarom VSE?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Balatonalmadi SE 1.54 · Komarom VSE 1.59), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Balatonalmadi SE vs Komarom VSE?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.