Football · Hungary NB III · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: BKV Elore SC vs Szegedi VSE

Team pages: BKV Elore SC · Szegedi VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

BKV Elore SC2.25

Szegedi VSE1.89

1X2

46% 21% 33%

BKV Elore SC Draw Szegedi VSE

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

BKV Elore SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLDW

Szegedi VSE 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLLLDW

Head-to-head

BKV Elore SC 2–1–2 Szegedi VSE (5 last)

Szegedi VSE1-5BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC0-1Szegedi VSE
Szegedi VSE1-1BKV Elore SC
BKV Elore SC2-3Szegedi VSE
Szegedi VSE0-2BKV Elore SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BKV Elore SC 1449 · Szegedi VSE 1406

	BKV Elore SC	Draw	Szegedi VSE
Our model	46%	21%	33%
Market	46%	21%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BKV Elore SC (rating 1449 vs 1406).
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BKV Elore SC	Szegedi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 3.3	1.3 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.20

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:47 +18’	1.95	4.20	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BKV Elore SC 2–1–2 Szegedi VSE

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	1-5 HT 0-1	BKV Elore SC
07/09/25 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Szegedi VSE
30/03/25 Hungary NB III	Szegedi VSE	1-1 HT 1-1	BKV Elore SC
08/09/24 Hungary NB III	BKV Elore SC	2-3 HT 1-1	Szegedi VSE
03/08/24 Hungary Cup	Szegedi VSE	0-2 HT 0-0	BKV Elore SC

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	13	13	0	0	44	10	39
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	33	12	27
3	III Keruleti TUE	13	8	2	3	16	6	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	13	6	5	2	24	16	23
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
6	Vasas SC II	13	5	4	4	26	15	19
7	Ujpest II	12	5	4	3	28	18	19
8	FC Dabas	13	4	3	6	18	30	15
9	Monori SE	13	3	6	4	23	24	15
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	13	3	5	5	19	19	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	13	3	5	5	28	31	14
12	Kispest Honved II	13	3	3	7	21	23	12
13	Sandorfalvi SK	13	3	2	8	8	30	11
14	Hodmezovasarhelyi	13	1	6	6	15	27	9
15	BKV Elore SC	12	2	2	8	13	41	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	15	36	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BKV Elore SC	Szegedi VSE
Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1-1 D	1-2 L
Monori SE	1-3 L	2-3 L
Hodmezovasarhelyi	2-2 D	2-1 W
Csepel	1-9 L	1-1 D
ESMTK	0-3 L	1-4 L
Gyulai Termal	2-4 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Szegedi VSE (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BKV Elore SC

LLLDLWLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	2-3	5-4	3	9	W
11/10	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
03/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-3	3	5	L
27/09	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-4	8	2	L
19/09	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Monori SE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
26/08	Csepel Hungary NB III	0-3	1-9	2	5	L
16/08	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
12/08	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	1	5	L

Szegedi VSE

LLLDLLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
10/10	Csepel Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	ESMTK Hungary NB III	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
26/09	III Keruleti TUE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	11	3	L
19/09	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
06/09	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	1-3	1-6	5	3	L
29/08	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	0-2	3-3	1	6	D
26/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-4	1-8	5	1	L
15/08	Monori SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BKV Elore SC vs Szegedi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BKV Elore SC win (46%). Probabilities: BKV Elore SC 46%, draw 21%, Szegedi VSE 33%.

How many goals are expected in BKV Elore SC vs Szegedi VSE?

The model expects 4.14 goals (BKV Elore SC 2.25 · Szegedi VSE 1.89), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in BKV Elore SC vs Szegedi VSE?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.