Football · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Atletico Camioneros vs Argentino Merlo

Team pages: Atletico Camioneros · Argentino Merlo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Atletico Camioneros1.34

Argentino Merlo0.61

1X2

54% 29% 17%

Atletico Camioneros Draw Argentino Merlo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Camioneros 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLLLLD

Argentino Merlo 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DDLDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 Argentino Merlo (1 last)

Argentino Merlo0-0Atletico Camioneros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Camioneros 1468 · Argentino Merlo 1438

	Atletico Camioneros	Draw	Argentino Merlo
Our model	53%	31%	16%
Market	55%	27%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Camioneros	Argentino Merlo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.6	1.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.30

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +10’	1.61	3.30	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Camioneros 0–1–0 Argentino Merlo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Argentino Merlo	0-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Camioneros

Standings · Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excursionistas	39	23	8	8	63	30	77
2	Arsenal de Sarandi	39	20	12	7	53	26	72
3	Sportivo Italiano	39	19	11	9	47	29	68
4	Talleres Remedios	39	19	11	9	41	24	68
5	Villa Dalmine	39	17	14	8	39	24	65
6	Atletico Camioneros	39	17	13	9	44	30	64
7	Deportivo Armenio	39	17	10	12	42	38	61
8	Real Pilar	39	17	10	12	42	39	61
9	Club Comunicaciones	39	14	14	11	39	34	56
10	Deportivo Laferrere	39	13	13	13	47	51	52
11	San Martin De Burzaco	39	12	14	13	40	44	50
12	CS Dock Sud	39	11	14	14	40	43	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37	43	47
14	Deportivo Merlo	39	10	15	14	37	52	45
15	Argentino Merlo	39	11	11	17	34	41	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	39	9	17	13	32	39	44
17	Deportivo Liniers	39	10	14	15	32	40	44
18	CA Brown de Adrogue	39	9	15	15	25	37	42
19	CSD Flandria	39	11	9	19	35	48	42
20	Defensores Unidos	39	9	14	16	33	40	41
21	UAI Urquiza	39	6	20	13	22	35	38
22	CA Ituzaingo	39	1	13	25	27	64	16

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Camioneros

DDWDWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Talleres Remedios Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Deportivo Laferrere Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	10	7	L
26/09	CA Brown de Adrogue Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
19/09	Deportivo Armenio Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
13/09	CSD Flandria Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	6	11	L
06/09	Argentino Quilmes Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
29/08	Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
26/08	Club Comunicaciones Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/08	CS Dock Sud Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
15/08	Deportivo Merlo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Argentino Merlo

DDLDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sportivo Italiano Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
03/10	San Martin De Burzaco Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
26/09	Villa San Carlos Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
20/09	Deportivo Liniers Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
12/09	Real Pilar Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
06/09	UAI Urquiza Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	6	2	L
30/08	Villa Dalmine Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
26/08	Excursionistas Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	1	L
22/08	Arsenal de Sarandi Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
15/08	CA Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Camioneros vs Argentino Merlo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Camioneros win (54%). Probabilities: Atletico Camioneros 54%, draw 29%, Argentino Merlo 17%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Camioneros vs Argentino Merlo?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Atletico Camioneros 1.34 · Argentino Merlo 0.61), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Camioneros vs Argentino Merlo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.