Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 06/11, 14:00
Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Gat · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Maccabi Kiryat Gat1.52
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.02
1X2
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Draw
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1–3–2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat2-2Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-0Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-2Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat0-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-2Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat1-2Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1470 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1424
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Draw | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Gat (rating 1470 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–3–2 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 17/01/20 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 22/03/19 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 16/11/18 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 27/03/18 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 01/12/17 Israel Liga Alef South | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 26 |
| 4 | Hapoel Raanana | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 22 |
| 5 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | SC Kiryat Yam | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 19 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 15 |
| 10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 11 | SC Kfar Qasim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Ironi Modiin | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 11 |
| 14 | Maccabi Herzliya | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 9 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Hapoel Raanana | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Ironi Modiin | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Gat (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 23/10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/10 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 28/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/10 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 28/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 17/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Gat win (48%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 48%, draw 27%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 25%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.52 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.