Football · Colombia Primera A · 22/10, 03:20

Prediction: Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba

Team pages: Independiente Santa Fe · Jaguares de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Independiente Santa Fe1.81

Jaguares de Cordoba1.19

1X2

51% 25% 24%

Independiente Santa Fe Draw Jaguares de Cordoba

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Santa Fe 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWLWWL

Jaguares de Cordoba 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDDLLLWL

Head-to-head

Independiente Santa Fe 2–1–3 Jaguares de Cordoba (6 last)

Jaguares de Cordoba3-1Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe3-0Jaguares de Cordoba
Jaguares de Cordoba1-0Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe1-0Jaguares de Cordoba
Jaguares de Cordoba2-2Independiente Santa Fe
Jaguares de Cordoba2-1Independiente Santa Fe

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jaguares de Cordoba: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Santa Fe	Jaguares de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.4	7.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.30▲	Pinn 1.30
X	5.33 → 5.16▼	Pinn 5.16
2	9.36 → 9.33▼	Pinn 9.33

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:42 +23’	1.27	5.33	9.36
06:45 +19’	1.29▲	5.23▼	9.39▲
07:21 +43’	1.30▲	5.16▼	9.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Santa Fe 2–1–3 Jaguares de Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/02/26 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	3-1 HT 1-0	Independiente Santa Fe
15/11/24 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	3-0 HT 1-0	Jaguares de Cordoba
29/04/24 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	1-0 HT 1-0	Independiente Santa Fe
20/07/23 Colombia Primera A	Independiente Santa Fe	1-0 HT 0-0	Jaguares de Cordoba
27/01/23 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	2-2 HT 2-2	Independiente Santa Fe
17/10/22 Colombia Primera A	Jaguares de Cordoba	2-1 HT 0-0	Independiente Santa Fe

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	13	8	3	2	25	9	27
2	Atletico Nacional Medellin	12	8	2	2	25	11	26
3	Deportivo Cali	13	7	4	2	20	9	25
4	Millonarios	15	6	7	2	23	13	25
5	Atletico Bucaramanga	12	6	6	0	21	11	24
6	Independiente Medellin	14	7	2	5	21	19	23
7	Independiente Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19	12	22
8	Deportes Tolima	14	5	5	4	17	16	20
9	Once Caldas	14	5	4	5	18	16	19
10	Cucuta Deportivo	13	5	3	5	16	19	18
11	Aguilas Doradas	13	3	7	3	17	18	16
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15	17	14
13	Internacional de Bogota	14	2	8	4	16	20	14
14	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14	26	12
15	Boyaca Chico	13	3	3	7	11	23	12
16	Junior	13	2	5	6	19	23	11
17	Fortaleza CEIF	13	1	8	4	14	19	11
18	Deportivo Pereira	13	1	7	5	8	18	10
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	2	4	7	15	26	10
20	Deportivo Pasto	12	2	3	7	9	18	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Santa Fe	Jaguares de Cordoba
Independiente Medellin	1-0 W	1-2 L
Alianza	4-1 W	1-2 L
Deportes Tolima	1-0 W	3-2 W
Fortaleza CEIF	2-2 D	2-2 D
Millonarios	3-2 W	1-4 L
Junior	1-1 D	3-3 D
America de Cali	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Santa Fe (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente Santa Fe

DDWDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
06/10	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	9	W
29/09	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
23/09	Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
19/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
12/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
03/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-1	3-2	7	8	W
30/08	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
23/08	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	9	4	D

Jaguares de Cordoba

DWDDDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-2	1-4	0	11	L
11/10	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-0	3-2	1	6	W
03/10	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	5	9	L
27/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
23/09	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
06/09	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	3-3	5	6	D
29/08	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
21/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	4	10	W
10/08	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Santa Fe win (51%). Probabilities: Independiente Santa Fe 51%, draw 25%, Jaguares de Cordoba 24%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model expects 3 goals (Independiente Santa Fe 1.81 · Jaguares de Cordoba 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.