Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 17/10, 20:00
Prediction: Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Espanol
Team pages: Victoriano Arenas · Deportivo Espanol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.3Total
Victoriano Arenas0.57
Deportivo Espanol0.72
1X2
Victoriano Arenas
Draw
Deportivo Espanol
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 59%
Most likely score
0-0 28%
Recent form · 10 last
Victoriano Arenas
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Espanol
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Victoriano Arenas
0–4–2
Deportivo Espanol
(6 last)
- Deportivo Espanol1-0Victoriano Arenas
- Victoriano Arenas0-0Deportivo Espanol
- Deportivo Espanol0-0Victoriano Arenas
- Victoriano Arenas0-0Deportivo Espanol
- Deportivo Espanol1-1Victoriano Arenas
- Victoriano Arenas0-2Deportivo Espanol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoriano Arenas 1519 · Deportivo Espanol 1572
| Victoriano Arenas | Draw | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 42% | 33% |
| Market | 29% | 34% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.3 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Espanol (rating 1519 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Deportivo Espanol: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Victoriano Arenas | Deportivo Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoriano Arenas 0–4–2 Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 23/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 23/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 27/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
| 25/06/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Espanol | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Victoriano Arenas |
| 18/02/23 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Victoriano Arenas | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Espanol |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 64 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leones de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 41 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 40 |
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
| 9 | Central Ballester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 34 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Atlas | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | CA Claypole | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 40 | 36 |
| 12 | Yupanqui | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | Fenix | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 32 | 34 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 29 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Victoriano Arenas | Deportivo Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Sacachispas | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| General Lamadrid | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoriano Arenas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/10 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 21/09 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Deportivo Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/10 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 21/09 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Espanol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (38%). Probabilities: Victoriano Arenas 27%, draw 38%, Deportivo Espanol 36%.
How many goals are expected in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model expects 1.3 goals (Victoriano Arenas 0.57 · Deportivo Espanol 0.72), with a 61% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Espanol?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.